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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 3.8x - 4.2x | 4.0x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 3.5x - 3.9x | 3.7x |
Fair Value | COP 12,014 - COP 13,025 | COP 12,520 |
Upside | 0.1% - 8.5% | 4.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Bolsa de Comercio de Santiago, Bolsa de Valores | BOLSASTGO | SNSE:BOLSASTGO |
Bursa Malaysia Berhad | BURSA | KLSE:BURSA |
London Stock Exchange Group plc | LSEG | LSE:LSEG |
B3 S.A. - Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão | B3SA3 | BOVESPA:B3SA3 |
JSE Limited | JSE | JSE:JSE |
Bolsa de Valores de Colombia S.A. | BVC | BVC:BVC |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
BOLSASTGO | BURSA | LSEG | B3SA3 | JSE | BVC | ||
SNSE:BOLSASTGO | KLSE:BURSA | LSE:LSEG | BOVESPA:B3SA3 | JSE:JSE | BVC:BVC | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -20.8% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 4.6% | 26.6% | |
3Y CAGR | -36.5% | -4.9% | 8.3% | -0.6% | 3.4% | 45.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 28.4% | 18.2% | 11.5% | 23.5% | 6.0% | 31.4% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 35.0% | 56.2% | 25.5% | 63.3% | 30.5% | 32.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 30.0% | 52.0% | 19.8% | 59.0% | 29.0% | 36.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 36.9% | 52.9% | 20.9% | 64.7% | 29.0% | 47.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 36.2% | 52.0% | 20.9% | 66.4% | 29.0% | 46.6% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.48x | 7.23x | 6.97x | 6.93x | 2.48x | 1.65x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.7x | 13.1x | 20.9x | 10.6x | 7.9x | 3.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 4.1x | 13.9x | 33.4x | 10.4x | 8.6x | 3.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 4.1x | 10.4x | 33.4x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -109.1x | 6.4x | 10.6x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 3.8x | 4.0x | 4.2x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 163,482 | 163,482 | 163,482 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 621,898 | 654,630 | 687,361 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 146,194 | 146,194 | 146,194 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 768,092 | 800,823 | 833,555 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 60.5 | 60.5 | 60.5 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 12,692.91 | 13,233.80 | 13,774.70 | ||||
FX Rate: COP/COP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12,692.91 | 13,233.80 | 13,774.70 | 12,000.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 5.8% | 10.3% | 14.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | BOLSASTGO | BURSA | LSEG | B3SA3 | JSE | BVC | |
Enterprise Value | 10,168 | 5,633 | 61,749 | 66,826 | 7,380 | 579,968 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,384 | 494 | 3,475 | 13,468 | 2,205 | 239,744 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 6,112 | 66 | 67 | 3,223 | 1,616 | 7,695 | |
(-) Debt | 0 | (8) | (10,042) | (15,383) | (209) | (49,370) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (2) | (2,140) | (13) | 0 | (51,875) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 17,664 | 6,183 | 53,109 | 68,121 | 10,993 | 726,162 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 48.0 | 809.3 | 526.4 | 5,212.0 | 81.3 | 60.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 368.00 | 7.64 | 100.90 | 13.07 | 135.14 | 12,000.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 368.00 | 7.64 | 100.90 | 13.07 | 135.14 | 12,000.00 | |
Trading Currency | CLP | MYR | GBP | BRL | ZAR | COP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |