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355
37.6%
OPB
7.7%
PWD1
6.3%
HK
前往
勁減45%
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觀察名單
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WarrenAI
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Societatea Energetica Electrica SA
BVB:EL
羅馬尼亞 / 公用事業 / 電力公用事業
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貨幣
lei
綜觀
股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF EBITDA 退出價
股價
12.40
RON
公允價值
16.90
RON
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
12.3% - 11.3%
11.8%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple
3.3x - 5.3x
4.3x
Fair Value
lei 13.71 - lei 20.34
lei 16.90
Upside
11.0% - 64.6%
36.7%
0.9%
Revenue 10y CAGR
20.6%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
-3.1%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: EBITDA Exit
分享
儲存
股價
12.40
RON
公允價值
16.90
RON
看漲
36.7%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(RON in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
10,564
10,432
10,086
9,969
10,196
10,457
10,666
10,879
11,097
11,319
11,545
% Growth
-19.9%
-1.2%
-3.3%
-1.2%
2.3%
2.6%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
1,340
2,387
1,778
1,727
1,975
2,250
2,295
2,341
2,388
2,435
2,484
% of Revenue
12.7%
22.9%
17.6%
17.3%
19.4%
21.5%
21.5%
21.5%
21.5%
21.5%
21.5%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(RON in millions)
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
EBITDA
2,387
1,778
1,727
1,975
2,250
2,295
2,341
2,388
2,435
2,484
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(989)
(1,159)
(1,175)
(1,207)
(1,242)
(1,267)
(1,292)
(1,318)
(1,344)
(1,371)
EBIT
1,398
619
552
768
1,008
1,028
1,049
1,070
1,091
1,113
Pro forma Taxes
(210)
(93)
(83)
(115)
(151)
(154)
(157)
(160)
(164)
(167)
NOPAT
641
1,188
526
469
653
857
874
891
909
927
946
Capital Expenditures
(149)
(906)
(933)
(959)
(968)
(986)
(971)
(975)
(977)
(974)
(976)
NWC Investment
681
34
90
30
(59)
(68)
(54)
(55)
(57)
(58)
(59)
(+) D&A
585
989
1,159
1,175
1,207
1,242
1,267
1,292
1,318
1,344
1,371
Free Cash Flow
1,759
1,306
842
716
833
1,045
1,115
1,153
1,193
1,240
1,283
% Growth
-26%
-35%
-15%
16%
25%
7%
3%
3%
4%
3%
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