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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -3.5x - -3.9x | -3.7x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -0.8x - -0.9x | -0.9x |
Fair Value | lei 26.37 - lei 24.86 | lei 25.61 |
Upside | 1.4% - -4.4% | -1.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
SC Metalica SA | MEOR | BVB:MEOR |
S.C. Mobex S.A. | MOBG | BVB:MOBG |
Aeta SA | ELGS | BVB:ELGS |
S.C. Serico S.A. | SERC | BVB:SERC |
Societatea Comerciala Metal Lemn SA | MELE | BVB:MELE |
S.C. Concas S.A. | CONK | BVB:CONK |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
MEOR | MOBG | ELGS | SERC | MELE | CONK | ||
BVB:MEOR | BVB:MOBG | BVB:ELGS | BVB:SERC | BVB:MELE | BVB:CONK | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | 3.3% | 5.2% | 11.1% | |
3Y CAGR | 15.9% | NM- | NM- | NM- | -1.3% | 2.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -62.0% | -82.1% | -13.5% | -51.9% | -29.6% | 23.3% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 1.0% | -16.8% | -20.8% | -1.3% | 55.2% | 2.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 8.2% | -25.7% | -18.8% | 12.9% | 62.7% | 2.8% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 3.4% | -46.8% | -29.9% | 6.0% | 46.4% | 2.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 3.4% | -46.8% | -22.5% | 6.0% | 46.4% | 2.6% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.58x | 2.39x | 0.76x | 8.58x | 13.00x | -0.11x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.8x | -6.4x | -21.5x | 26.4x | 26.0x | -2.5x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 46.5x | -5.1x | -3.4x | 142.3x | 28.0x | -4.0x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -5.1x | 28.0x | 142.3x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -8.5x | -4.2x | 1.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -3.5x | -3.7x | -3.9x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 3 | 3 | 3 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | (9) | (10) | (10) | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 29 | 29 | 29 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 20 | 19 | 19 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 27.76 | 27.08 | 26.39 | ||||
FX Rate: RON/RON | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 27.76 | 27.08 | 26.39 | 26.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | MEOR | MOBG | ELGS | SERC | MELE | CONK | |
Enterprise Value | 11 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 71 | (11) | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 30 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | 0 | (0) | (5) | 0 | (5) | (1) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 12 | 29 | 24 | 36 | 67 | 19 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 4.8 | 2.5 | 119.9 | 38.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2.40 | 11.60 | 0.20 | 0.93 | 73.50 | 26.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.40 | 11.60 | 0.20 | 0.93 | 73.50 | 26.00 | |
Trading Currency | RON | RON | RON | RON | RON | RON | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |