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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 4.2x - 4.7x | 4.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7.1x - 7.8x | 7.4x |
| Fair Value | lei 0.93 - lei 1.02 | lei 0.98 |
| Upside | 3.2% - 13.5% | 8.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Klimator AB | KLIMAT | OM:KLIMAT |
| Creturner Group AB (publ) | CRET | NGM:CRET |
| Holdflight AB (publ) | HOLDFL | NGM:HOLDFL |
| Quorum Information Technologies Inc. | QIS | TSXV:QIS |
| DataWalk S.A. | DAT | WSE:DAT |
| Softbinator Technologies S.A. | CODE | BVB:CODE |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| KLIMAT | CRET | HOLDFL | QIS | DAT | CODE | ||
| OM:KLIMAT | NGM:CRET | NGM:HOLDFL | TSXV:QIS | WSE:DAT | BVB:CODE | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 44.7% | NM- | 47.4% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | -38.4% | NM- | 94.2% | NM- | -7.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 116.2% | -33.0% | -503.4% | -35.9% | 36.4% | 865.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -80.9% | 69.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% | -127.6% | 8.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -61.6% | 146.0% | 17.6% | 4.8% | -42.5% | -3.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -3.0% | 28.6% | -3.6% | 11.4% | -200.2% | 13.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.9% | 38.1% | -15.1% | 5.7% | -84.8% | 13.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.53x | 0.32x | 1.08x | 1.48x | 17.28x | 0.62x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 120.1x | 0.8x | -7.1x | 26.2x | -20.4x | 4.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 950.9x | -1.3x | -7.0x | 19.3x | -20.4x | 6.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -20.4x | 0.8x | 120.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 86.0x | 86.0x | 86.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.2x | 4.4x | 4.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 4 | 4 | 4 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 16 | 17 | 18 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 17 | 18 | 19 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 21.0 | 21.0 | 21.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.89 | ||||
| FX Rate: RON/RON | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.89 | 0.90 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -9.7% | -5.2% | -0.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | KLIMAT | CRET | HOLDFL | QIS | DAT | CODE | |
| Enterprise Value | 109 | 11 | 9 | 60 | 547 | 18 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 2 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| (-) Debt | (7) | (3) | 0 | (5) | (1) | (1) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 105 | 8 | 11 | 59 | 558 | 19 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 35.1 | 57.6 | 80.0 | 73.6 | 5.6 | 21.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3.00 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.80 | 99.00 | 0.90 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3.00 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.80 | 99.00 | 0.90 | |
| Trading Currency | SEK | SEK | SEK | CAD | PLN | RON | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |