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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 4.6x - 5.0x | 4.8x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 4.6x - 5.1x | 4.8x |
| Fair Value | €52.99 - €58.57 | €55.78 |
| Upside | -4.5% - 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Meituan | - | OTCPK:MPNG.Y |
| eDreams ODIGEO S.A. | - | OTCPK:EDEM.Y |
| Airbnb, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:ABNB |
| TUI AG | - | OTCPK:TUIF.F |
| Carnival Corporation & plc | - | NYSE:CUK |
| Trip.com Group Limited | - | BST:CLVB |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| MPNG.Y | EDEM.Y | ABNB | TUIF.F | CUK | CLVB | |||
| OTCPK:MPNG.Y | OTCPK:EDEM.Y | NasdaqGS:ABNB | OTCPK:TUIF.F | NYSE:CUK | BST:CLVB | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 28.4% | 3.6% | 18.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 8.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 23.5% | 19.0% | 22.8% | 69.8% | 135.8% | 38.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 17.9% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 17.5% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.0% | -20.3% | -5.7% | -26.3% | -528.2% | 12.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.0% | 5.0% | 48.3% | 1.5% | -0.3% | 22.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.6% | 6.7% | 23.9% | 2.2% | 7.7% | 32.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.2% | 8.7% | 22.7% | 2.7% | 9.7% | 31.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.4x | 13.4x | 25.2x | 4.0x | 9.9x | 16.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.6x | 1.4x | 6.6x | 0.2x | 1.6x | 6.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 19.9x | 16.0x | 29.0x | 6.0x | 16.1x | 19.8x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 1.6x | 6.6x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 4.2x | 6.0x | 7.7x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 4.6x | 4.8x | 5.0x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 57,290 | 57,290 | 57,290 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 261,588 | 275,356 | 289,124 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 653.6 | 653.6 | 653.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 400.22 | 421.29 | 442.35 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/EUR | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.4 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 47.80 | 50.31 | 52.83 | 55.50 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -13.9% | -9.3% | -4.8% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MPNG.Y | EDEM.Y | ABNB | TUIF.F | CUK | CLVB | |
| Value of Common Equity | 573,851 | 746 | 75,427 | 3,879 | 37,066 | 303,751 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,030.9 | 12.9 | 612.2 | 507.4 | 1,313.0 | 653.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 189.33 | 57.83 | 123.20 | 7.64 | 28.23 | 464.73 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 7.11 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 8.37 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 26.62 | 68.08 | 123.20 | 9.00 | 28.23 | 55.50 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 7.11 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 8.37 | |