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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 3.5x - 3.9x | 3.7x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.7x - 1.8x | 1.7x |
Fair Value | €9.88 - €10.92 | €10.40 |
Upside | 21.4% - 34.2% | 27.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
NIO Inc. | - | NYSE:NIO |
Li Auto Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:LI |
Chijet Motor Company, Inc. | - | NasdaqGM:CJET |
Rivian Automotive, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:RIVN |
Tesla, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:TSLA |
XPeng Inc. | - | BST:8XP |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
NIO | LI | CJET | RIVN | TSLA | 8XP | |||
NYSE:NIO | NasdaqGS:LI | NasdaqGM:CJET | NasdaqGS:RIVN | NasdaqGS:TSLA | BST:8XP | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 53.1% | 247.7% | NM- | NM- | 31.8% | 77.5% | ||
3Y CAGR | 22.1% | 74.9% | -29.0% | 348.7% | 22.0% | 24.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 18.2% | 16.6% | 31.3% | 12.1% | 0.9% | 33.2% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -41.7% | -9.8% | -774.1% | -19580.5% | 9.7% | -44.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -38.0% | 9.5% | -516.4% | -122.5% | 15.5% | -33.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -34.5% | 5.6% | -718.2% | -95.5% | 7.3% | -14.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -34.5% | 5.6% | -485.7% | -95.5% | 7.3% | -14.2% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -3.9x | 7.3x | -11.5x | -2.8x | 57.9x | -22.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.9x | 1.2x | 1.0x | 2.6x | 7.9x | 3.1x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -2.5x | 21.3x | -0.2x | -2.8x | 108.9x | -21.8x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.9x | 1.2x | 7.9x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.9x | 4.3x | 59.1x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 3.5x | 3.7x | 3.9x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 40,866 | 40,866 | 40,866 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 142,731 | 150,243 | 157,755 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,925.7 | 1,925.7 | 1,925.7 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 74.12 | 78.02 | 81.92 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/EUR | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.4 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 8.83 | 9.30 | 9.76 | 8.14 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 8.5% | 14.2% | 19.9% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | NIO | LI | CJET | RIVN | TSLA | 8XP | |
Value of Common Equity | 57,531 | 170,742 | 10 | 13,116 | 776,371 | 131,524 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,242.5 | 1,013.3 | 5.4 | 1,130.7 | 3,216.5 | 1,925.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 25.65 | 168.50 | 1.86 | 11.60 | 241.37 | 68.30 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 7.29 | 7.29 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.39 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3.52 | 23.12 | 1.86 | 11.60 | 241.37 | 8.14 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 7.29 | 7.29 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.39 |