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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -16.3x - -18.0x | -17.2x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 87.1x - 96.3x | 91.7x |
Fair Value | €7.41 - €8.19 | €7.80 |
Upside | -15.5% - -6.6% | -11.0% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
NIO Inc. | - | NYSE:NIO |
Li Auto Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:LI |
Chijet Motor Company, Inc. | - | NasdaqGM:CJET |
Rivian Automotive, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:RIVN |
Tesla, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:TSLA |
XPeng Inc. | - | BST:8XP |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
NIO | LI | CJET | RIVN | TSLA | 8XP | |||
NYSE:NIO | NasdaqGS:LI | NasdaqGM:CJET | NasdaqGS:RIVN | NasdaqGS:TSLA | BST:8XP | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | 8.9% | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -7.1% | -31.4% | 41.2% | 12.6% | -56.1% | 44.2% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -41.7% | -9.8% | -774.1% | -19580.5% | 10.1% | -44.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -38.0% | 9.5% | -516.4% | -122.5% | 15.5% | -33.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -34.5% | 5.6% | -718.2% | -95.5% | 7.3% | -14.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -34.5% | 5.6% | -485.7% | -95.5% | 6.4% | -14.2% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -4.4x | 8.7x | -11.6x | -3.6x | 71.9x | -23.0x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.0x | 1.3x | 1.0x | 3.2x | 9.7x | 3.2x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -2.9x | 23.0x | -0.2x | -3.3x | 151.5x | -22.3x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -3.3x | -0.2x | 151.5x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -61.8x | -22.3x | -7.3x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | -16.3x | -17.2x | -18.0x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | (5,790) | (5,790) | (5,790) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 94,482 | 99,454 | 104,427 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,925.7 | 1,925.7 | 1,925.7 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 49.06 | 51.65 | 54.23 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/EUR | 8.2 | 8.2 | 8.2 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.97 | 6.28 | 6.60 | 8.76 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -31.9% | -28.3% | -24.7% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | NIO | LI | CJET | RIVN | TSLA | 8XP | |
Value of Common Equity | 65,715 | 184,497 | 11 | 15,854 | 925,091 | 138,697 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,242.5 | 1,013.3 | 5.4 | 1,146.4 | 3,221.0 | 1,925.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 29.30 | 182.08 | 1.97 | 13.83 | 287.21 | 72.02 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 7.27 | 7.27 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.22 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4.03 | 25.04 | 1.97 | 13.83 | 287.21 | 8.76 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 7.27 | 7.27 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.22 |