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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 9.6x - 10.6x | 10.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7.7x - 8.5x | 8.1x |
| Fair Value | ₹455.60 - ₹515.02 | ₹485.31 |
| Upside | 24.2% - 40.4% | 32.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Steel Strips Wheels Limited | SSWL | NSEI:SSWL |
| Pricol Limited | PRICOLLTD | NSEI:PRICOLLTD |
| Jay Ushin Limited | 513252 | BSE:513252 |
| Pavna Industries Limited | PAVNAIND | NSEI:PAVNAIND |
| Wheels India Limited | WHEELS | NSEI:WHEELS |
| Sandhar Technologies Limited | 541163 | BSE:541163 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SSWL | PRICOLLTD | 513252 | PAVNAIND | WHEELS | 541163 | ||
| NSEI:SSWL | NSEI:PRICOLLTD | BSE:513252 | NSEI:PAVNAIND | NSEI:WHEELS | BSE:541163 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 13.2% | 24.3% | -7.5% | NM- | 0.7% | 4.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 31.7% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 19.7% | 22.5% | 22.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -2.4% | 22.3% | -26.6% | -20.3% | 72.7% | 26.9% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.3% | 11.4% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 8.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.7% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 9.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.9% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.92x | 2.03x | 0.46x | 1.95x | 0.49x | 0.75x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.4x | 16.3x | 15.9x | 19.5x | 6.8x | 7.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.5x | 20.7x | 22.3x | 27.8x | 9.0x | 13.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.8x | 15.9x | 19.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.9x | 8.6x | 13.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.6x | 10.1x | 10.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 3,609 | 3,609 | 3,609 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 34,679 | 36,504 | 38,329 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,551) | (6,551) | (6,551) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 28,128 | 29,953 | 31,778 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 60.2 | 60.2 | 60.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 467.32 | 497.64 | 527.96 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 467.32 | 497.64 | 527.96 | 366.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 27.4% | 35.7% | 43.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SSWL | PRICOLLTD | 513252 | PAVNAIND | WHEELS | 541163 | |
| Enterprise Value | 39,029 | 50,931 | 3,706 | 6,187 | 22,894 | 28,629 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 101 | 1,063 | 6 | 33 | 179 | 757 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (9,265) | (542) | (1,393) | (1,194) | (7,480) | (7,308) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 29,865 | 51,452 | 2,319 | 5,026 | 15,593 | 22,078 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 156.9 | 121.9 | 3.9 | 14.0 | 24.4 | 60.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 190.31 | 422.15 | 600.05 | 360.20 | 638.20 | 366.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 190.31 | 422.15 | 600.05 | 360.20 | 638.20 | 366.80 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |