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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 15.5x - 17.1x | 16.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 11.7x - 12.9x | 12.3x |
| Fair Value | ₹129.45 - ₹142.31 | ₹135.88 |
| Upside | -9.5% - -0.5% | -5.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Restaurant Brands Asia Limited | 543248 | BSE:543248 |
| Sapphire Foods India Limited | 543397 | BSE:543397 |
| Devyani International Limited | 543330 | BSE:543330 |
| Sayaji Hotels Limited | SAYH | BSE:SAYH |
| Lords Ishwar Hotels Limited | 530065 | BSE:530065 |
| Speciality Restaurants Limited | 534425 | BSE:534425 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 543248 | 543397 | 543330 | SAYH | 530065 | 534425 | ||
| BSE:543248 | BSE:543397 | BSE:543330 | BSE:SAYH | BSE:530065 | BSE:534425 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 21.0% | 37.3% | 22.2% | -8.8% | 4.6% | 20.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 130.9% | 59.7% | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 28.5% | 3.3% | 18.9% | -73.4% | 89.9% | 18.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -0.1% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 23.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -0.3% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 28.9% | 6.4% | 14.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 23.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.36x | 4.25x | 5.17x | 4.35x | 1.77x | 1.55x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 61.5x | 38.3x | 46.9x | 29.2x | 18.8x | 17.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -52.5x | 110.2x | 91.7x | 22.2x | 27.1x | 27.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.8x | 38.3x | 61.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -11.3x | 17.1x | 25.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.5x | 16.3x | 17.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 390 | 390 | 390 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 6,051 | 6,370 | 6,688 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 350 | 350 | 350 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 6,402 | 6,720 | 7,039 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 48.2 | 48.2 | 48.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 132.72 | 139.32 | 145.92 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 132.72 | 139.32 | 145.92 | 143.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -7.2% | -2.6% | 2.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 543248 | 543397 | 543330 | SAYH | 530065 | 534425 | |
| Enterprise Value | 59,618 | 118,947 | 245,057 | 5,757 | 147 | 6,547 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,081 | 2,277 | 2,279 | 32 | 55 | 1,733 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (15,466) | (11,937) | (30,992) | (624) | (77) | (1,382) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 45,233 | 109,286 | 216,344 | 5,165 | 126 | 6,898 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 582.1 | 321.4 | 1,206.3 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 48.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 77.71 | 340.05 | 179.35 | 294.85 | 16.81 | 143.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 77.71 | 340.05 | 179.35 | 294.85 | 16.81 | 143.00 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |