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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 21.8x - 24.1x | 23.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 12.4x - 13.7x | 13.1x |
| Fair Value | ₹365.66 - ₹404.15 | ₹384.91 |
| Upside | 48.1% - 63.7% | 55.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Macrotech Developers Limited | LODHA | NSEI:LODHA |
| AGI Infra Limited | AGIIL | NSEI:AGIIL |
| DLF Limited | DLF | NSEI:DLF |
| Suratwwala Business Group Limited | SBGLP | NSEI:SBGLP |
| Kolte-Patil Developers Limited | KOLTEPATIL | NSEI:KOLTEPATIL |
| Puravankara Limited | 532891 | BSE:532891 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| LODHA | AGIIL | DLF | SBGLP | KOLTEPATIL | 532891 | ||
| NSEI:LODHA | NSEI:AGIIL | NSEI:DLF | NSEI:SBGLP | NSEI:KOLTEPATIL | BSE:532891 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -3.5% | 27.5% | -0.6% | 67.8% | -29.5% | 0.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 30.5% | 33.1% | 13.3% | 50.9% | -12.1% | 18.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 54.3% | 32.6% | 5.1% | -44.1% | -75.0% | 5.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 21.7% | 29.6% | 27.8% | 30.4% | 9.9% | 22.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 21.8% | 25.8% | 30.0% | 48.1% | 12.3% | 23.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 25.9% | 27.4% | 32.8% | 53.5% | 3.2% | 22.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 27.3% | 30.6% | 26.5% | 46.3% | 3.7% | 16.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 9.18x | 6.60x | 24.37x | 17.48x | 2.06x | 3.71x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 33.7x | 21.6x | 91.9x | 37.8x | 56.3x | 22.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 34.8x | 25.7x | 98.3x | 38.6x | 64.5x | 23.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.6x | 37.8x | 91.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -46.5x | 15.4x | 19.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.8x | 23.0x | 24.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 3,928 | 3,928 | 3,928 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 85,697 | 90,207 | 94,718 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 85,697 | 90,207 | 94,718 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 237.1 | 237.1 | 237.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 361.36 | 380.38 | 399.40 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 361.36 | 380.38 | 399.40 | 246.90 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 46.4% | 54.1% | 61.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | LODHA | AGIIL | DLF | SBGLP | KOLTEPATIL | 532891 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,245,822 | 21,428 | 1,705,884 | 6,205 | 31,439 | 58,552 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 26,813 | 953 | 21,463 | 41 | 5,678 | 0 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (79,896) | (1,419) | (42,898) | (212) | (12,507) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,192,739 | 20,963 | 1,684,450 | 6,033 | 24,610 | 58,552 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 997.4 | 24.4 | 2,475.3 | 173.4 | 76.0 | 237.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,195.80 | 857.95 | 680.50 | 34.79 | 323.80 | 246.90 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,195.80 | 857.95 | 680.50 | 34.79 | 323.80 | 246.90 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |