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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.2x - 1.3x | 1.3x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.8x - 0.9x | 0.8x |
| Fair Value | ₹223.77 - ₹247.06 | ₹235.42 |
| Upside | 31.6% - 45.3% | 38.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| G R Infraprojects Limited | 543317 | BSE:543317 |
| NCC Limited | 500294 | BSE:500294 |
| PNC Infratech Limited | 539150 | BSE:539150 |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited | 542649 | BSE:542649 |
| SEPC Limited | 532945 | BSE:532945 |
| K&R Rail Engineering Limited | 514360 | BSE:514360 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 543317 | 500294 | 539150 | 542649 | 532945 | 514360 | |||
| BSE:543317 | BSE:500294 | BSE:539150 | BSE:542649 | BSE:532945 | BSE:514360 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 11.2% | 10.1% | 18.0% | 16.8% | -14.1% | 61.3% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 4.6% | 37.9% | 14.3% | 12.4% | -1.3% | 72.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -15.1% | 16.8% | -8.3% | -3.3% | 13.0% | -18.3% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 20.6% | 8.3% | 19.1% | 5.8% | -8.4% | 4.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 24.4% | 8.1% | 16.9% | 6.0% | -18.2% | 2.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 21.0% | 7.5% | 21.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.3% | 7.5% | 29.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.82x | 0.64x | 1.77x | 3.82x | 4.26x | 0.96x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 9.9x | 8.6x | 6.1x | 67.2x | 72.3x | 50.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.31x | 0.60x | 0.89x | 3.77x | 3.74x | 0.97x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.64x | 1.82x | 4.26x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.11x | 0.25x | 2.72x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.21x | 1.27x | 1.34x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 6,091 | 6,091 | 6,091 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,376 | 7,765 | 8,153 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 92 | 92 | 92 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 7,468 | 7,856 | 8,245 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 35.9 | 35.9 | 35.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 208.07 | 218.89 | 229.71 | |||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 208.07 | 218.89 | 229.71 | 170.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 22.4% | 28.8% | 35.1% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 543317 | 500294 | 539150 | 542649 | 532945 | 514360 | |
| Enterprise Value | 138,172 | 139,444 | 134,354 | 765,302 | 25,374 | 6,010 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,853 | 8,663 | 20,471 | 43,999 | 563 | 225 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (43,136) | (17,264) | (87,868) | (54,419) | (3,811) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (133) | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 99,889 | 130,843 | 66,957 | 754,882 | 22,126 | 6,102 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 96.7 | 627.8 | 256.5 | 2,085.0 | 1,563.7 | 35.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,032.55 | 208.40 | 261.00 | 362.05 | 14.15 | 170.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,032.55 | 208.40 | 261.00 | 362.05 | 14.15 | 170.00 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |