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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.2x - 0.2x | 0.2x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.2x - 0.2x | 0.2x |
| Fair Value | R$21.12 - R$23.35 | R$22.23 |
| Upside | 25.9% - 39.1% | 32.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| TotalEnergies SE | - | BASE:TTE |
| PetroChina Company Limited | 85,700.0% | SEHK:857 |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | - | BOVESPA:PETR3 |
| Petroreconcavo S.A. | - | BOVESPA:RECV3 |
| Cosan S.A. | - | BOVESPA:CSAN3 |
| Ultrapar Participações S.A. | - | BOVESPA:UGPA3 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| TTE | 857 | PETR3 | RECV3 | CSAN3 | UGPA3 | |||
| BASE:TTE | SEHK:857 | BOVESPA:PETR3 | BOVESPA:RECV3 | BOVESPA:CSAN3 | BOVESPA:UGPA3 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 2.1% | 3.1% | 13.2% | 57.2% | 26.5% | 8.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 46.4% | 20.8% | 6.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -10.7% | -2.5% | -4.1% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 5.9% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.9% | 4.5% | 17.9% | 22.7% | 10.8% | 1.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.8% | 5.4% | 24.3% | 25.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 13.4% | -22.1% | 1.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 13.4% | -22.1% | 1.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.9x | 2.8x | 3.8x | 2.8x | 5.5x | 5.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.6x | 0.5x | 0.9x | 1.2x | 0.3x | 0.1x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 7.8x | 8.1x | 11.6x | 9.1x | -1.4x | 7.7x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 0.6x | 1.2x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 0.2x | 0.3x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.2x | 0.2x | 0.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 133,499 | 133,499 | 133,499 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 22,439 | 23,620 | 24,801 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,082.1 | 1,082.1 | 1,082.1 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 20.74 | 21.83 | 22.92 | |||||
| FX Rate: BRL/BRL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 20.74 | 21.83 | 22.92 | 16.78 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 23.6% | 30.1% | 36.6% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TTE | 857 | PETR3 | RECV3 | CSAN3 | UGPA3 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 122,544 | 1,369,596 | 437,186 | 3,963 | 13,114 | 18,158 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5,248.4 | 276,261.4 | 12,888.7 | 293.1 | 1,862.8 | 1,082.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 23.35 | 4.96 | 33.92 | 13.52 | 7.04 | 16.78 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 25,100.00 | 5.28 | 33.92 | 13.52 | 7.04 | 16.78 | |
| Trading Currency | ARS | HKD | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |