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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.8x - 0.9x | 0.8x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.7x - 0.8x | 0.8x |
Fair Value | R$212.92 - R$235.34 | R$224.13 |
Upside | 24.9% - 38.1% | 31.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Delta Air Lines, Inc. | - | NYSE:DAL |
Allegiant Travel Company | - | NasdaqGS:ALGT |
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:UAL |
American Airlines Group Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:AAL |
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. | - | NYSE:LTM |
Southwest Airlines Co. | - | BOVESPA:S1OU34 |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
DAL | ALGT | UAL | AAL | LTM | S1OU34 | |||
NYSE:DAL | NasdaqGS:ALGT | NasdaqGS:UAL | NasdaqGS:AAL | NYSE:LTM | BOVESPA:S1OU34 | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | ||
3Y CAGR | 27.3% | 13.7% | 32.3% | 22.0% | 38.0% | 20.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 6.2% | 0.1% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 10.2% | 5.3% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -10.0% | 0.1% | -8.2% | -10.0% | -33.8% | -3.2% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.6% | -9.6% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 7.6% | 1.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.6% | -9.6% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 7.6% | 1.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.6x | 8.4x | 5.0x | 6.5x | 6.4x | 11.3x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.5x | 0.4x | 0.4x | 0.1x | 0.7x | 0.7x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 8.1x | -3.8x | 7.2x | 8.2x | 9.7x | 42.9x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 0.4x | 0.7x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.7x | 0.9x | 2.2x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.8x | 0.8x | 0.9x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 27,483 | 27,483 | 27,483 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 21,784 | 22,931 | 24,077 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 592.7 | 592.7 | 592.7 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 36.76 | 38.69 | 40.63 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/BRL | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 209.51 | 220.54 | 231.57 | 170.43 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 22.9% | 29.4% | 35.9% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | DAL | ALGT | UAL | AAL | LTM | S1OU34 | |
Value of Common Equity | 27,975 | 916 | 22,603 | 6,937 | 9,225 | 17,721 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 641.6 | 17.7 | 327.3 | 657.6 | 294.9 | 592.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 43.60 | 51.65 | 69.05 | 10.55 | 31.28 | 29.90 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.18 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 43.60 | 51.65 | 69.05 | 10.55 | 31.28 | 170.43 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | BRL | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.18 |