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MRFG3 8.4%H1RL34 5.6%MDLZ34 -5.2%

觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作 WarrenAI

JBS 公司

BOVESPA:JBSS3

巴西 / 必需消費品 / 食物產品

5 年 DCF 收入退出價

股價

47.87 BRL

公允價值

58.83 BRL

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	9.8% - 8.8%	9.3%
Terminal Revenue Multiple	0.5x - 0.5x	0.5x
Fair Value	R$53.25 - R$64.62	R$58.83
Upside	11.2% - 35.0%	22.9%

4.2%

Revenue 5y CAGR

7.4%

5y Avg EBITDA Margin

0.2%

Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR

5-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit

股價

47.87 BRL

公允價值

58.83 BRL

看漲

22.9%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(BRL in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29

Revenue	416,952	467,159	476,059	491,475	501,305	511,331
% Growth	14.6%	12.0%	1.9%	3.2%	2.0%	2.0%

EBITDA	35,569	37,671	34,162	35,830	36,547	37,278
% of Revenue	8.5%	8.1%	7.2%	7.3%	7.3%	7.3%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(BRL in millions)		Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29

EBITDA		37,671	34,162	35,830	36,547	37,278
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(12,712)	(13,382)	(13,893)	(10,622)	(7,980)

EBIT		24,958	20,780	21,938	25,925	29,298
Pro forma Taxes		(7,737)	(6,442)	(6,801)	(8,037)	(9,082)
NOPAT	16,397	17,221	14,338	15,137	17,888	20,216

Capital Expenditures	(8,085)	(11,746)	(11,083)	(12,363)	(9,569)	(10,338)
NWC Investment	(2,950)	(2,788)	(494)	(856)	(546)	(557)
(+) D&A	11,805	12,712	13,382	13,893	10,622	7,980

Free Cash Flow	17,167	15,399	16,143	15,811	18,395	17,300
% Growth		-10%	5%	-2%	16%	-6%

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