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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 1.0x - 1.2x | 1.1x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 0.9x - 2.0x | 1.4x |
Fair Value | R$14.11 - R$15.60 | R$14.85 |
Upside | 17.7% - 30.1% | 23.9% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
CSN Mineração S.A. | - | BOVESPA:CMIN3 |
Gerdau S.A. | - | BOVESPA:GGBR4 |
Vale S.A. | - | BOVESPA:VALE3 |
Metalurgica Gerdau S.A. | - | BOVESPA:GOAU4 |
Companhia Brasileira de Alumínio | - | BOVESPA:CBAV3 |
Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia S.A. - FERBASA | - | BOVESPA:FESA3 |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
CMIN3 | GGBR4 | VALE3 | GOAU4 | CBAV3 | FESA3 | |||
BOVESPA:CMIN3 | BOVESPA:GGBR4 | BOVESPA:VALE3 | BOVESPA:GOAU4 | BOVESPA:CBAV3 | BOVESPA:FESA3 | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 4.3% | 30.6% | 51.5% | 29.4% | NM- | 8.2% | ||
3Y CAGR | -10.8% | -33.5% | -38.2% | -32.7% | NM- | -20.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 26.9% | -39.1% | -20.9% | -39.7% | 80.1% | -14.4% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 25.4% | 11.2% | 25.4% | 11.2% | -1.1% | 18.8% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 18.9% | 10.9% | 19.2% | 3.7% | -12.4% | 15.7% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 27.4% | 6.8% | 15.3% | 2.3% | -2.2% | 14.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 27.4% | 6.8% | 15.3% | 2.3% | -2.2% | 14.7% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 33.3% | 19.6% | 33.5% | 17.8% | -2.0% | 19.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 32.3% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 15.4% | -19.0% | 12.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 43.2% | 8.5% | 15.9% | 8.4% | -4.4% | 10.0% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 22.6% | 7.7% | 20.7% | 2.5% | 15.8% | 26.3% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 27.9% | 8.0% | 19.4% | 3.0% | 10.7% | 21.6% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.9x | 0.5x | 1.1x | 0.1x | 0.3x | 1.3x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 6.8x | 6.7x | 7.1x | 5.5x | -14.8x | 9.1x | ||
Price / Book | 3.0x | 0.5x | 1.1x | 0.4x | 0.7x | 0.9x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 3.6x | 0.5x | 1.0x | 0.5x | 0.6x | 0.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.4x | 0.7x | 3.0x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 0.9x | 1.4x | 2.0x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 1.0x | 1.1x | 1.2x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 3,339 | 3,339 | 3,339 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | CMIN3 | GGBR4 | VALE3 | GOAU4 | CBAV3 | FESA3 | |
Value of Common Equity | 30,800 | 29,627 | 222,187 | 8,008 | 2,500 | 2,955 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 5,432.0 | 2,029.3 | 4,268.7 | 999.7 | 651.1 | 246.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 5.67 | 14.60 | 52.05 | 8.01 | 3.84 | 11.99 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5.67 | 14.60 | 52.05 | 8.01 | 3.84 | 11.99 | |
Trading Currency | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |