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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 19.2x - 21.2x | 20.2x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5.9x - 6.6x | 6.2x |
Fair Value | R$3.08 - R$3.45 | R$3.27 |
Upside | 41.4% - 58.2% | 49.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
International Meal Company Alimentação S.A. | MEAL3 | BOVESPA:MEAL3 |
Smartfit Escola de Ginástica e Dança S.A. | SMFT3 | BOVESPA:SMFT3 |
São Paulo Turismo S.A. | AHEB3 | BOVESPA:AHEB3 |
Hotéis Othon S.A. | HOOT4 | BOVESPA:HOOT4 |
Zamp S.A. | ZAMP3 | BOVESPA:ZAMP3 |
CVC Brasil Operadora e Agência de Viagens S.A. | CVCB3 | BOVESPA:CVCB3 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
MEAL3 | SMFT3 | AHEB3 | HOOT4 | ZAMP3 | CVCB3 | ||
BOVESPA:MEAL3 | BOVESPA:SMFT3 | BOVESPA:AHEB3 | BOVESPA:HOOT4 | BOVESPA:ZAMP3 | BOVESPA:CVCB3 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -40.4% | 31.1% | NM- | NM- | NM- | -20.0% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | -88.7% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 37.8% | -104.5% | 169.8% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -1.7% | 0.3% | 3.3% | -62.8% | -2.9% | -38.5% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 2.1% | 24.6% | 20.1% | 26.4% | 3.1% | -9.1% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 0.2% | 22.6% | 20.1% | 33.0% | -0.1% | 6.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 0.2% | 22.6% | 20.1% | 33.0% | -0.1% | 6.4% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.60x | 3.81x | 0.41x | 0.02x | 0.57x | 0.96x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.7x | 7.9x | 2.0x | 0.1x | 9.6x | 8.7x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 253.6x | 16.8x | 2.1x | 0.1x | -476.7x | 15.0x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -476.7x | 2.1x | 253.6x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -26.2x | -3.2x | 19.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 19.2x | 20.2x | 21.2x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 91 | 91 | 91 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,742 | 1,833 | 1,925 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (213) | (213) | (213) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,529 | 1,621 | 1,713 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 525.6 | 525.6 | 525.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 2.91 | 3.08 | 3.26 | ||||
FX Rate: BRL/BRL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.91 | 3.08 | 3.26 | 2.18 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 33.5% | 41.5% | 49.5% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | MEAL3 | SMFT3 | AHEB3 | HOOT4 | ZAMP3 | CVCB3 | |
Enterprise Value | 1,334 | 22,692 | 298 | 4 | 2,702 | 1,358 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 218 | 1,491 | 91 | 14 | 746 | 400 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 64 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (1,267) | (11,315) | (4) | (1) | (2,236) | (613) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (16) | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 348 | 12,907 | 384 | 50 | 1,213 | 1,146 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 285.4 | 597.3 | 8.5 | 18.4 | 419.6 | 525.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1.22 | 21.61 | 45.00 | 2.71 | 2.89 | 2.18 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.22 | 21.61 | 45.00 | 2.71 | 2.89 | 2.18 | |
Trading Currency | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |