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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 22.6x - 25.0x | 23.8x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 5.9x - 6.5x | 6.2x |
| Fair Value | Mex$ 81.33 - Mex$ 96.10 | Mex$ 88.72 |
| Upside | -61.8% - -54.9% | -58.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| LSB Industries, Inc. | LXU | NYSE:LXU |
| Intrepid Potash, Inc. | IPI | NYSE:IPI |
| Itafos Inc. | MBCF | OTCPK:MBCF |
| Nocopi Technologies, Inc. | NNUP | OTCPK:NNUP |
| Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. | DNA | NYSE:DNA |
| Perimeter Solutions, Inc. | PRM * | BMV:PRM* |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| LXU | IPI | MBCF | NNUP | DNA | PRM * | ||
| NYSE:LXU | NYSE:IPI | OTCPK:MBCF | OTCPK:NNUP | NYSE:DNA | BMV:PRM* | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 11.3% | -7.5% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 3.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -26.2% | -18.3% | 5.0% | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -42.8% | -23.6% | 20.5% | -79.3% | 37.3% | -69.0% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 24.1% | 26.6% | 24.2% | -29.3% | -334.6% | 1.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 20.2% | 20.2% | 27.7% | -87.5% | -263.8% | 62.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 13.2% | 17.4% | 31.7% | -154.4% | -183.1% | 11.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.2% | 17.4% | 31.7% | -154.4% | -183.1% | 11.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.38x | 1.46x | 0.64x | 2.54x | 1.32x | 3.74x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.5x | 8.4x | 2.0x | -1.6x | -0.7x | 33.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -131.3x | -92.2x | 2.6x | -1.6x | -0.6x | -557.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -1.6x | 2.0x | 10.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -5.3x | 15.4x | 33.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 22.6x | 23.8x | 25.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 62 | 62 | 62 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,400 | 1,474 | 1,547 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (607) | (607) | (607) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 793 | 866 | 940 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 208.6 | 208.6 | 208.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.80 | 4.15 | 4.51 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/MXN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 77.01 | 84.17 | 91.33 | 213.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -63.8% | -60.5% | -57.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | LXU | IPI | MBCF | NNUP | DNA | PRM * | |
| Enterprise Value | 723 | 299 | 316 | 5 | 299 | 2,800 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 184 | 42 | 75 | 11 | 562 | 198 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (526) | (4) | (108) | (0) | (468) | (806) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 381 | 341 | 283 | 16 | 441 | 2,193 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 71.8 | 12.3 | 192.5 | 10.8 | 54.4 | 208.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 5.30 | 27.69 | 1.47 | 1.50 | 8.12 | 10.51 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5.30 | 27.69 | 1.47 | 1.50 | 8.12 | 213.00 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | MXN | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | |