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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 10.2x - 11.3x | 10.8x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 14.5x - 16.1x | 15.3x |
| Fair Value | Mex$ 371.04 - Mex$ 410.10 | Mex$ 390.57 |
| Upside | 8.7% - 20.1% | 14.4% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Keio Corporation | 900,800.0% | TSE:9008 |
| Higashi Holdings Co., Ltd. | 902,900.0% | TSE:9029 |
| ZERO Co., Ltd. | 902,800.0% | TSE:9028 |
| Maruzen Showa Unyu Co., Ltd. | 906,800.0% | TSE:9068 |
| Hankyu Hanshin Holdings, Inc. | 904,200.0% | TSE:9042 |
| West Japan Railway Company | - | BMV:9021N |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 9008 | 9029 | 9028 | 9068 | 9042 | 9021 N | |||
| TSE:9008 | TSE:9029 | TSE:9028 | TSE:9068 | TSE:9042 | BMV:9021N | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 1.4% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 10.4% | 0.7% | -0.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 31.3% | 4.6% | 13.0% | NM- | NM- | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 67.2% | 19.3% | 80.1% | 2.2% | 24.3% | -6.8% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | -3.0% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.5x | 4.0x | 2.9x | 3.8x | 10.4x | 7.6x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.0x | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.8x | 0.9x | 0.8x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 10.1x | 9.4x | 7.4x | 11.3x | 12.9x | 13.1x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 7.4x | 10.1x | 12.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -9.9x | 11.6x | 47.2x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 10.2x | 10.8x | 11.3x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 103,525 | 103,525 | 103,525 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,060,352 | 1,116,160 | 1,171,968 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 470.5 | 470.5 | 470.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 2,253.76 | 2,372.38 | 2,491.00 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/MXN | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 307.93 | 324.14 | 340.34 | 341.41 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -9.8% | -5.1% | -0.3% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 9008 | 9029 | 9028 | 9068 | 9042 | 9021 N | |
| Value of Common Equity | 439,115 | 15,421 | 46,080 | 118,095 | 961,025 | 1,175,645 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 118.3 | 13.2 | 16.8 | 19.8 | 238.6 | 470.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3,713.00 | 1,166.00 | 2,748.00 | 5,950.00 | 4,027.00 | 2,498.82 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.32 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,713.00 | 1,166.00 | 2,748.00 | 5,950.00 | 4,027.00 | 341.41 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | MXN | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.32 | |