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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.5x - 0.6x | 0.5x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.4x - 0.4x | 0.4x |
| Fair Value | €20.03 - €21.13 | €20.58 |
| Upside | -2.8% - 2.6% | -0.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| The Navigator Company, S.A. | NVG | ENXTLS:NVG |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj | RPL | DB:RPL |
| Metsä Board Oyj | METSA | HLSE:METSA |
| Miquel y Costas & Miquel, S.A. | MCM | BME:MCM |
| Koskisen Oyj | EZ8 | DB:EZ8 |
| Iberpapel Gestión, S.A. | IBG | BME:IBG |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| NVG | RPL | METSA | MCM | EZ8 | IBG | |||
| ENXTLS:NVG | DB:RPL | HLSE:METSA | BME:MCM | DB:EZ8 | BME:IBG | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 3.3% | NM- | 2.2% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 9.3% | 1.8% | -2.4% | 0.9% | -3.2% | 0.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.9% | -1.2% | -0.2% | -0.3% | 4.0% | -5.0% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 16.3% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 19.2% | 10.3% | 5.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 18.8% | 9.3% | 1.8% | 18.4% | 8.5% | 16.9% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 18.2% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 18.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.2% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 18.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.46x | 1.37x | 0.51x | 1.35x | 0.66x | 0.51x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.0x | 13.4x | 21.7x | 7.2x | 14.5x | 6.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.11x | 1.26x | 0.63x | 1.59x | 0.58x | 0.94x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.51x | 1.35x | 1.46x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.35x | 0.51x | 0.85x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.51x | 0.54x | 0.56x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 239 | 239 | 239 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 122 | 128 | 135 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 104 | 104 | 104 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 226 | 232 | 239 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 20.72 | 21.30 | 21.89 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 20.72 | 21.30 | 21.89 | 20.60 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 0.6% | 3.4% | 6.3% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NVG | RPL | METSA | MCM | EZ8 | IBG | |
| Enterprise Value | 3,045 | 14,134 | 1,305 | 418 | 179 | 121 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 287 | 893 | 183 | 53 | 43 | 122 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 2,267 | 737 | 78 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,016) | (3,913) | (527) | (55) | (66) | (18) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (0) | (401) | (165) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,316 | 12,980 | 1,532 | 494 | 157 | 224 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 711.2 | 528.7 | 291.3 | 38.0 | 23.0 | 10.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3.26 | 24.55 | 5.26 | 13.00 | 6.80 | 20.60 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3.26 | 24.55 | 5.26 | 13.00 | 6.80 | 20.60 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |