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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 9.9x - 11.0x | 10.5x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 8.4x - 9.3x | 8.8x |
Fair Value | €1.85 - €2.10 | €1.98 |
Upside | 19.6% - 36.3% | 27.9% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Ørsted A/S | ORSTED | CPSE:ORSTED |
ERG S.p.A. | ERG | BIT:ERG |
Holaluz-Clidom, S.A. | HLZ | BME:HLZ |
Ecoener, S.A. | ENER | BME:ENER |
Solaria Energía y Medio Ambiente, S.A. | SLR | BME:SLR |
Audax Renovables, S.A. | ADX | BME:ADX |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
ORSTED | ERG | HLZ | ENER | SLR | ADX | ||
CPSE:ORSTED | BIT:ERG | BME:HLZ | BME:ENER | BME:SLR | BME:ADX | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 4.7% | 0.4% | NM- | 16.3% | 43.4% | 11.6% | |
3Y CAGR | 14.1% | 10.7% | NM- | 22.8% | 22.5% | 37.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 7.4% | -0.8% | 23.2% | 18.9% | -14.7% | 16.8% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 25.3% | 60.8% | -1.7% | 52.9% | 80.4% | 4.0% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 27.4% | 69.6% | -0.7% | 51.3% | 85.5% | 4.2% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 32.9% | 69.3% | -5.1% | 47.8% | 79.7% | 5.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 32.9% | 69.3% | -4.4% | 47.8% | 79.7% | 5.6% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.65x | 6.34x | 0.11x | 10.01x | 8.66x | 0.49x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.1x | 9.1x | -2.4x | 20.9x | 10.9x | 8.6x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 13.3x | 18.2x | -3.0x | 37.8x | 14.2x | 10.3x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -2.4x | 9.1x | 20.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.6x | 12.0x | 36.0x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.9x | 10.5x | 11.0x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 111 | 111 | 111 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,107 | 1,165 | 1,223 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (272) | (272) | (272) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 835 | 894 | 952 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 450.6 | 450.6 | 450.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 1.85 | 1.98 | 2.11 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.85 | 1.98 | 2.11 | 1.54 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 20.1% | 28.5% | 36.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ORSTED | ERG | HLZ | ENER | SLR | ADX | |
Enterprise Value | 181,464 | 4,639 | 65 | 813 | 1,821 | 967 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 33,255 | 1,047 | 13 | 76 | 61 | 325 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 1,214 | 37 | 2 | 5 | 86 | 17 | |
(-) Debt | (96,618) | (3,096) | (54) | (615) | (1,172) | (600) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (10,391) | (76) | 0 | (13) | (4) | (13) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 108,924 | 2,551 | 27 | 266 | 791 | 696 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 420.2 | 145.4 | 21.8 | 56.9 | 125.0 | 450.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 259.20 | 17.55 | 1.22 | 4.67 | 6.33 | 1.54 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 259.20 | 17.55 | 1.22 | 4.67 | 6.33 | 1.54 | |
Trading Currency | DKK | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |