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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.2x - 1.4x | 1.3x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 0.9x |
| Fair Value | €3.36 - €3.67 | €3.51 |
| Upside | -21.8% - -14.5% | -18.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| ESI S.p.A. | ESIGM | BIT:ESIGM |
| Reway Group S.p.A. | RWY | BIT:RWY |
| Palingeo S.p.A. | PAL | BIT:PAL |
| TREVI - Finanziaria Industriale S.p.A. | TFIN | BIT:TFIN |
| Maire S.p.A. | MAIRE | BIT:MAIRE |
| Edil San Felice S.p.A. | ESF | BIT:ESF |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ESIGM | RWY | PAL | TFIN | MAIRE | ESF | |||
| BIT:ESIGM | BIT:RWY | BIT:PAL | BIT:TFIN | BIT:MAIRE | BIT:ESF | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | -0.2% | 12.1% | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 28.7% | NM- | NM- | 7.7% | 27.1% | NM- | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 131.4% | 55.7% | NM | 15.5% | 38.2% | 23.5% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.2% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 1.1% | 4.2% | 22.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 26.0% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 19.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -6.0% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 24.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.6% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 23.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.42x | 1.92x | 0.69x | 0.51x | 0.49x | 1.65x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 26.6x | 11.3x | 4.2x | 11.1x | 10.2x | 7.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.39x | 1.55x | 0.61x | 0.15x | 0.50x | 1.81x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.42x | 0.51x | 1.92x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.22x | 1.22x | 1.22x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.24x | 1.30x | 1.37x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 46 | 46 | 46 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 56 | 59 | 62 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 8 | 8 | 8 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 64 | 67 | 70 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 19.2 | 19.2 | 19.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.34 | 3.49 | 3.64 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.34 | 3.49 | 3.64 | 4.29 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -22.3% | -18.7% | -15.1% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ESIGM | RWY | PAL | TFIN | MAIRE | ESF | |
| Enterprise Value | 13 | 325 | 46 | 279 | 2,880 | 75 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2 | 21 | 9 | 113 | 1,154 | 13 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (3) | (84) | (14) | (312) | (1,075) | (6) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | (45) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 12 | 262 | 40 | 83 | 2,927 | 83 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7.5 | 38.8 | 6.9 | 312.2 | 327.1 | 19.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.60 | 6.76 | 5.84 | 0.27 | 8.95 | 4.29 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.60 | 6.76 | 5.84 | 0.27 | 8.95 | 4.29 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |