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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 31.1x - 34.4x | 32.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 21.6x - 23.9x | 22.7x |
| Fair Value | kr366.16 - kr404 | kr385.08 |
| Upside | -30.6% - -23.4% | -27.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| MilDef Group AB (publ) | MILDEF | OM:MILDEF |
| RTX Corporation | 5UR | DB:5UR |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA | KOGO | OM:KOGO |
| Dassault Aviation société anonyme | AM | ENXTPA:AM |
| General Dynamics Corporation | GDX | DB:GDX |
| Saab AB (publ) | SAABBS | BATS-CHIXE:SAABBS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| MILDEF | 5UR | KOGO | AM | GDX | SAABBS | ||
| OM:MILDEF | DB:5UR | OM:KOGO | ENXTPA:AM | DB:GDX | BATS-CHIXE:SAABBS | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 37.1% | 8.1% | 44.2% | -7.7% | 0.9% | 14.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 8.5% | 31.5% | -0.4% | 2.9% | 23.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 35.8% | 92.5% | 31.2% | 53.9% | 21.0% | 25.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.2% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.6% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 6.32x | 2.99x | 4.95x | 1.44x | 1.86x | 4.10x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 48.8x | 17.2x | 32.8x | 13.5x | 15.4x | 36.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 83.1x | 24.5x | 36.5x | 17.3x | 18.1x | 46.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 17.3x | 24.5x | 83.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 13.6x | 18.9x | 23.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 31.1x | 32.7x | 34.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 6,219 | 6,219 | 6,219 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 193,488 | 203,671 | 213,855 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 3,615 | 3,615 | 3,615 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 197,103 | 207,286 | 217,470 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 536.6 | 536.6 | 536.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 367.29 | 386.27 | 405.24 | ||||
| FX Rate: SEK/SEK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 367.29 | 386.27 | 405.24 | 527.35 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -30.4% | -26.8% | -23.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MILDEF | 5UR | KOGO | AM | GDX | SAABBS | |
| Enterprise Value | 8,651 | 248,869 | 625,549 | 8,608 | 94,069 | 279,382 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 200 | 4,782 | 14,385 | 9,572 | 1,523 | 7,934 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 4,584 | 2,940 | 0 | 5,911 | |
| (-) Debt | (718) | (43,595) | (5,313) | (204) | (10,619) | (9,904) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1,849) | (635) | 0 | 0 | (326) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,132 | 208,207 | 638,570 | 20,917 | 84,973 | 282,997 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 47.1 | 1,338.5 | 2,058.9 | 78.2 | 268.6 | 536.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 172.60 | 155.55 | 310.15 | 267.40 | 316.37 | 527.35 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 172.60 | 132.48 | 310.15 | 267.40 | 269.45 | 527.35 | |
| Trading Currency | SEK | EUR | NOK | EUR | EUR | SEK | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 | |