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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 30.3x - 33.5x | 31.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 20.8x - 23.0x | 21.9x |
| Fair Value | kr362.35 - kr399.78 | kr381.06 |
| Upside | -27.3% - -19.8% | -23.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| MilDef Group AB (publ) | MILDEF | OM:MILDEF |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA | KOGO | OM:KOGO |
| L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | HRS | DB:HRS |
| Thales S.A. | HO | ENXTPA:HO |
| Rheinmetall AG | RHM | DB:RHM |
| Saab AB (publ) | SAABBS | BATS-CHIXE:SAABBS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| MILDEF | KOGO | HRS | HO | RHM | SAABBS | ||
| OM:MILDEF | OM:KOGO | DB:HRS | ENXTPA:HO | DB:RHM | BATS-CHIXE:SAABBS | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 37.1% | 44.2% | -0.3% | 5.7% | 23.5% | 14.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 31.5% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 31.5% | 23.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 35.8% | 31.2% | 6.4% | 19.8% | 47.7% | 25.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 7.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 8.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 8.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.6% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 8.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 5.33x | 4.52x | 2.93x | 2.28x | 6.93x | 3.75x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 41.1x | 29.9x | 15.7x | 17.9x | 39.7x | 33.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 70.0x | 33.3x | 22.9x | 25.3x | 49.8x | 42.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 22.9x | 33.3x | 70.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 13.6x | 18.9x | 23.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 30.3x | 31.9x | 33.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 6,219 | 6,219 | 6,219 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 188,385 | 198,300 | 208,215 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 3,615 | 3,615 | 3,615 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 192,000 | 201,915 | 211,830 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 536.6 | 536.6 | 536.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 357.78 | 376.26 | 394.73 | ||||
| FX Rate: SEK/SEK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 357.78 | 376.26 | 394.73 | 498.48 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -28.2% | -24.5% | -20.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MILDEF | KOGO | HRS | HO | RHM | SAABBS | |
| Enterprise Value | 7,454 | 589,518 | 62,450 | 48,825 | 73,157 | 263,887 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 200 | 14,385 | 482 | 3,887 | 352 | 7,934 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 4,584 | 0 | 1,743 | 321 | 5,911 | |
| (-) Debt | (718) | (5,313) | (12,102) | (7,314) | (2,009) | (9,904) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (635) | 0 | (28) | (459) | (326) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,935 | 602,539 | 50,830 | 47,113 | 71,362 | 267,502 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 47.1 | 2,058.9 | 187.1 | 205.4 | 45.8 | 536.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 147.20 | 292.65 | 271.68 | 229.40 | 1,557.50 | 498.48 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 147.20 | 292.65 | 233.10 | 229.40 | 1,557.50 | 498.48 | |
| Trading Currency | SEK | NOK | EUR | EUR | EUR | SEK | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |