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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.6x - 1.8x | 1.7x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.6x - 1.7x | 1.6x |
Fair Value | ARS 16,853 - ARS 21,329 | ARS 19,091 |
Upside | 39.3% - 76.3% | 57.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
1&1 AG | 0E6Y | LSE:0E6Y |
Rogers Communications Inc. | RCI | NYSE:RCI |
Millicom International Cellular S.A. | TIGO | NasdaqGS:TIGO |
MTN Group Limited | MTNO.F | OTCPK:MTNO.F |
América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. | XAMXB | BME:XAMXB |
Vodafone Group Public Limited Company | VOD | BASE:VOD |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
0E6Y | RCI | TIGO | MTNO.F | XAMXB | VOD | |||
LSE:0E6Y | NYSE:RCI | NasdaqGS:TIGO | OTCPK:MTNO.F | BME:XAMXB | BASE:VOD | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 2.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 0.4% | -3.4% | ||
3Y CAGR | 1.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | -5.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -0.8% | 6.7% | 2.5% | -14.8% | 6.5% | 13.1% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 19.0% | 23.5% | 12.6% | 27.0% | 17.9% | 9.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 16.0% | 23.2% | 13.7% | 25.8% | 18.3% | 11.9% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 14.5% | 24.3% | 22.2% | 22.9% | 20.7% | 9.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 14.5% | 24.3% | 22.2% | 22.9% | 20.7% | 10.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.76x | 3.18x | 1.82x | 1.72x | 1.88x | 1.54x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 5.2x | 13.1x | 8.2x | 7.5x | 9.1x | 14.0x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.66x | 0.97x | 0.86x | 1.16x | 1.04x | 0.57x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.76x | 1.82x | 3.18x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.76x | 2.07x | 2.35x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.61x | 1.69x | 1.78x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 37,010 | 37,010 | 37,010 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 59,451 | 62,580 | 65,709 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (36,078) | (36,078) | (36,078) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 23,373 | 26,502 | 29,631 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,670.8 | 1,670.8 | 1,670.8 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 13.99 | 15.86 | 17.73 | |||||
FX Rate: EUR/ARS | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 16,627.23 | 18,853.19 | 21,079.14 | 12,100.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 37.4% | 55.8% | 74.2% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 0E6Y | RCI | TIGO | MTNO.F | XAMXB | VOD | |
Enterprise Value | 3,064 | 64,731 | 10,516 | 304,363 | 1,647,133 | 53,087 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 8 | 1,234 | 699 | 39,263 | 94,004 | 13,070 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 2 | 1,612 | 561 | 28,878 | 17,587 | 9,579 | |
(-) Debt | (413) | (48,470) | (6,862) | (158,322) | (781,585) | (57,784) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 54 | (15,002) | (63,099) | (943) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,662 | 19,107 | 4,968 | 199,180 | 914,040 | 17,009 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 176.3 | 538.0 | 168.2 | 1,806.6 | 60,802.5 | 1,670.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 15.10 | 35.51 | 29.53 | 110.25 | 15.03 | 10.18 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 18.85 | 22.11 | 0.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 15.10 | 25.29 | 29.53 | 5.85 | 0.68 | 12,100.00 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | USD | USD | USD | EUR | ARS | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 18.85 | 22.11 | 0.00 |