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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 26.6x - 29.4x | 28.0x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 6.6x - 7.3x | 7.0x |
| Fair Value | ARS 674.04 - ARS 744.99 | ARS 709.52 |
| Upside | -17.8% - -9.1% | -13.5% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Aluar Aluminio Argentino S.A.I.C. | - | BASE:ALUA |
| Iskenderun Demir ve Çelik A.S. | - | IBSE:ISDMR |
| Industrias Peñoles, S.A.B. de C.V. | - | OTCPK:IPOA.F |
| ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited | - | JSE:ACL |
| Imperial Metals Corporation | - | TSX:III |
| Ternium Argentina S.A. | - | BASE:TXAR |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ALUA | ISDMR | IPOA.F | ACL | III | TXAR | |||
| BASE:ALUA | IBSE:ISDMR | OTCPK:IPOA.F | JSE:ACL | TSX:III | BASE:TXAR | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 66.2% | 45.9% | 15.6% | NM- | NM- | 57.3% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 157.1% | 30.1% | -42.8% | NM- | NM- | -7.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -24.4% | 209.8% | -50.2% | -49.0% | 186.7% | 66.7% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 10.2% | 11.5% | 4.5% | -1.6% | 40.6% | 19.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 21.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | -9.4% | -44.0% | 6.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.9% | 12.9% | 1.1% | -15.1% | -10.7% | 5.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.9% | 12.9% | 1.1% | -15.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.4x | 11.2x | 5.2x | -2.7x | 5.2x | 1.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.9x | 0.9x | 1.1x | 0.0x | 0.9x | 1.8x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 15.8x | 7.3x | 95.4x | -0.2x | 12.4x | 34.7x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -0.2x | 12.4x | 95.4x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 5.0x | 27.7x | 34.7x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 26.6x | 28.0x | 29.4x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 106,715 | 106,715 | 106,715 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,841,059 | 2,990,589 | 3,140,118 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,517.1 | 4,517.1 | 4,517.1 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 628.96 | 662.06 | 695.16 | |||||
| FX Rate: ARS/ARS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 628.96 | 662.06 | 695.16 | 820.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -23.3% | -19.3% | -15.2% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ALUA | ISDMR | IPOA.F | ACL | III | TXAR | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,382,800 | 107,300 | 6,761 | 1,393 | 408 | 3,704,017 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,800.0 | 2,900.0 | 397.5 | 1,114.6 | 161.9 | 4,517.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 851.00 | 37.00 | 17.01 | 1.25 | 2.52 | 820.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 851.00 | 37.00 | 17.01 | 1.25 | 2.52 | 820.00 | |
| Trading Currency | ARS | TRY | USD | ZAR | CAD | ARS | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |