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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.6x - 0.7x | 0.6x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.5x - 0.5x | 0.5x |
Fair Value | ARS 1,064 - ARS 1,176 | ARS 1,120 |
Upside | 24.3% - 37.3% | 30.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Carlos Casado S.A. | - | BASE:CADO |
Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A. | - | BASE:MOLI |
Morixe Hermanos S.A.C.I. | - | BASE:MORI |
Compañía Introductora de Buenos Aires S.A. | - | BASE:INTR |
S.A. San Miguel A.G.I.C.I. y F. | - | BASE:SAMI |
Ledesma Sociedad Anónima Agrícola Industrial | - | BASE:LEDE |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
CADO | MOLI | MORI | INTR | SAMI | LEDE | |||
BASE:CADO | BASE:MOLI | BASE:MORI | BASE:INTR | BASE:SAMI | BASE:LEDE | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 81.6% | 108.7% | 76.5% | 57.0% | 78.7% | ||
3Y CAGR | 58.4% | 89.1% | 130.6% | 94.6% | 105.5% | 71.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -60.4% | -27.1% | NM | -15.0% | 173.3% | 13.8% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -15.5% | 5.7% | 0.2% | 1.3% | -42.0% | 5.6% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 24.4% | 10.7% | 0.8% | -5.1% | -43.7% | 5.4% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -97.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.2% | -14.2% | -3.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -136.6% | -6.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | -22.6% | -3.0% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -49.6x | -15.3x | 26.8x | 3.9x | 57.7x | 27.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 22.8x | 0.7x | 0.7x | 0.8x | 0.7x | 0.4x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -16.7x | -10.7x | 36.7x | 47.4x | -3.1x | -14.3x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.7x | 0.7x | 22.8x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.5x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.6x | 0.6x | 0.7x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 831,947 | 831,947 | 831,947 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 489,786 | 515,565 | 541,343 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 438.1 | 438.1 | 438.1 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 1,117.91 | 1,176.74 | 1,235.58 | |||||
FX Rate: ARS/ARS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,117.91 | 1,176.74 | 1,235.58 | 856.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 30.6% | 37.5% | 44.3% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | CADO | MOLI | MORI | INTR | SAMI | LEDE | |
Value of Common Equity | 54,639 | 589,139 | 56,380 | 43,591 | 80,197 | 375,038 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 123.2 | 201.4 | 281.9 | 121.1 | 1,485.1 | 438.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 443.50 | 2,925.00 | 200.00 | 360.00 | 54.00 | 856.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 443.50 | 2,925.00 | 200.00 | 360.00 | 54.00 | 856.00 | |
Trading Currency | ARS | ARS | ARS | ARS | ARS | ARS | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |