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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 17.6x - 19.5x | 18.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 6.1x - 6.8x | 6.4x |
| Fair Value | ARS 636.07 - ARS 738.42 | ARS 687.24 |
| Upside | -25.7% - -13.7% | -19.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Carlos Casado S.A. | CADO | BASE:CADO |
| Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A. | MOLI | BASE:MOLI |
| Morixe Hermanos S.A.C.I. | MORI | BASE:MORI |
| Compañía Introductora de Buenos Aires S.A. | INTR | BASE:INTR |
| S.A. San Miguel A.G.I.C.I. y F. | SAMI | BASE:SAMI |
| Ledesma Sociedad Anónima Agrícola Industrial | LEDE | BASE:LEDE |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CADO | MOLI | MORI | INTR | SAMI | LEDE | ||
| BASE:CADO | BASE:MOLI | BASE:MORI | BASE:INTR | BASE:SAMI | BASE:LEDE | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 139.2% | 94.6% | 38.0% | 25.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 172.8% | 124.8% | NM- | -2.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 23.0% | -144.8% | NM | 40.2% | 29343.9% | -83.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -35.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 15.7% | -4.0% | 10.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 33.1% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 15.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -90.2% | -0.1% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 7.2% | 2.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -52.8% | -5.5% | 3.1% | 21.3% | 6.6% | 2.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 26.20x | 0.85x | 0.83x | 0.83x | 3.80x | 0.61x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -49.6x | -15.3x | 26.8x | 3.9x | 57.7x | 27.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -38.4x | -11.1x | 53.4x | 4.5x | -65.6x | -26.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -49.6x | 3.9x | 57.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.2x | 3.3x | 27.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.6x | 18.5x | 19.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 18,472 | 18,472 | 18,472 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 325,471 | 342,601 | 359,731 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (147,315) | (147,315) | (147,315) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 178,155 | 195,285 | 212,415 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 438.1 | 438.1 | 438.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 406.63 | 445.73 | 484.82 | ||||
| FX Rate: ARS/ARS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 406.63 | 445.73 | 484.82 | 856.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -52.5% | -47.9% | -43.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CADO | MOLI | MORI | INTR | SAMI | LEDE | |
| Enterprise Value | 62,144 | 699,690 | 70,721 | 43,858 | 428,608 | 522,354 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 240 | 33,627 | 10,894 | 6,202 | 19,110 | 8,589 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 576 | 34,738 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5,260 | |
| (-) Debt | (8,320) | (178,916) | (25,268) | (5,763) | (361,771) | (161,164) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 33 | (707) | (5,751) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 54,639 | 589,139 | 56,380 | 43,591 | 80,197 | 375,038 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 123.2 | 201.4 | 281.9 | 121.1 | 1,485.1 | 438.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 443.50 | 2,925.00 | 200.00 | 360.00 | 54.00 | 856.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 443.50 | 2,925.00 | 200.00 | 360.00 | 54.00 | 856.00 | |
| Trading Currency | ARS | ARS | ARS | ARS | ARS | ARS | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |