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觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作 WarrenAI

Cresud Wnt

BASE:CRES

阿根廷 / 必需消費品 / 食物產品

DDM 多階段

股價

1,120.00 ARS

公允價值

976.42 ARS

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Perpetuity Growth Rate	9.8% - 10.3%	10.0%
Discount Rate	17.1% - 16.1%	16.6%
Fair Value	ARS 886.22 - ARS 1,090	ARS 976.42
Upside	-32.1% - -16.5%	-25.2%

125.82

Current Dividend per Share

9.6%

Current Dividend Yield

197.2%

3yr Avg Div Growth

-71.5%

Ytd Div Growth

Dividend Discount Model: Multi Stage

股價

1,120.00 ARS

公允價值

976.42 ARS

看漲

-25.2%

Project Adj Dividends

Perpetuity Growth Rate

Fair Value


Project Adjusted Dividends

		Fiscal Year Ending
(ARS in millions)	Jun-24	Jun-25	Jun-26	Jun-27	Jun-28		Jun-29	Terminal

Net Income to Common	78,460	54,574	54,574	54,574	54,574		54,574	54,574
% Growth	-51.9%	-30.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%		0.0%

Payout Ratio	157.5%	90.0%	90.0%	90.0%	90.0%		90.0%	92.5%

Projected Dividends	123,587	58,060	49,117	49,117	49,117		49,117	50,481
% Growth		-53.0%	-15.4%	0.0%	0.0%		0.0%

支援算式

Historical Performance

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Pv of Discrete Dividends

Pv of Terminal Dividends


Historical Performance

	Fiscal Year Ending						YTD	YTD
(ARS in millions)	Jun-20	Jun-21	Jun-22	Jun-23	Jun-24		Dec-23	Dec-24

Cash Dividends Paid	2,552	11,659	66,588	162,952	123,587		203,737	58,060
% Growth		357%	471%	145%	-24%			-72%

Net Income to Common	16,509	(15,243)	297,052	162,990	78,460		106,267	(61,541)
% Growth		NM	NM	-45%	-52%			NM

Payout Ratio	15%	-76%	22%	100%	158%		192%	-94%
Retention Ratio	85%	176%	78%	0%	-58%		-92%	194%

Adjusted EBITDA	17,380	(19,864)	23,008	107,421	152,115		131,874	69,986
% Growth		NM	NM	367%	42%			-47%

Total Debt	660,372	204,695	325,047	1,061,517	902,313		811,965	1,112,672
Shareholder's Equity	37,792	53,205	177,431	778,999	696,243		474,903	739,254

Debt / EBITDA	38.0	(10.3)	14.1	9.9	5.9			12.3
Debt / Equity	1747%	385%	183%	136%	130%		171%	151%


3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth	197.2%
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio	22.4%

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