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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 0.8x - 0.9x | 0.8x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 0.4x - 1.7x | 1.0x |
Fair Value | ARS 122.28 - ARS 135.15 | ARS 128.71 |
Upside | 5.4% - 16.5% | 11.0% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A. | - | BASE:TGNO4 |
YPF Sociedad Anónima | - | BASE:YPFD |
Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd. | 166,200.0% | TSE:1662 |
Conoil Plc | - | NGSE:CONOIL |
TotalEnergies Marketing Nigeria Plc | - | NGSE:TOTAL |
Sociedad Comercial del Plata S.A. | - | BASE:COME |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
TGNO4 | YPFD | 1662 | CONOIL | TOTAL | COME | |||
BASE:TGNO4 | BASE:YPFD | TSE:1662 | NGSE:CONOIL | NGSE:TOTAL | BASE:COME | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 44.8% | NM- | 24.8% | 34.8% | 64.6% | 105.1% | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | 1906.9% | NM- | 41.7% | 17.7% | 218.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 351.3% | 240.4% | 51.2% | -57.8% | -21.6% | -220.2% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.9% | -1.0% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 61.6% | -28.5% | 16.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | -11.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 9.7% | 11.6% | 20.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 11.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 32.3% | 7.9% | 20.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | -16.3% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.8% | 0.7% | 6.3% | 20.3% | 32.6% | 16.7% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 20.8% | -34.4% | 11.5% | 33.9% | 24.3% | -20.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 18.6% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 26.4% | -19.4% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 13.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 60.2% | 17.1% | 10.9% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 20.3% | 15.2% | 6.1% | 57.1% | 24.1% | 13.2% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 3.1x | 0.9x | 0.7x | 0.5x | 0.2x | 0.7x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 9.6x | 11.1x | 3.4x | 34.5x | 15.1x | -4.2x | ||
Price / Book | 1.5x | 1.3x | 0.5x | 4.1x | 3.9x | 0.7x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 1.7x | 1.3x | 0.5x | 2.3x | 3.0x | 0.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.5x | 1.5x | 4.1x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 0.4x | 1.0x | 1.7x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 0.8x | 0.8x | 0.9x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 493,951 | 493,951 | 493,951 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TGNO4 | YPFD | 1662 | CONOIL | TOTAL | COME | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,441,147 | 16,853,453 | 273,570 | 162,732 | 239,363 | 361,805 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 439.4 | 393.3 | 255.9 | 694.0 | 339.5 | 3,119.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 3,280.00 | 42,850.00 | 1,069.00 | 234.50 | 705.00 | 116.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,280.00 | 42,850.00 | 1,069.00 | 234.50 | 705.00 | 116.00 | |
Trading Currency | ARS | ARS | JPY | NGN | NGN | ARS | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |