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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -4.0x - -4.4x | -4.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 6.9x - 7.7x | 7.3x |
| Fair Value | ARS 36.02 - ARS 37.47 | ARS 36.75 |
| Upside | -32.4% - -29.7% | -31.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A. | TGNO4 | BASE:TGNO4 |
| YPF Sociedad Anónima | YPFD | BASE:YPFD |
| Dorian LPG Ltd. | LPG | NYSE:LPG |
| Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | MGY | NYSE:MGY |
| Teekay Tankers Ltd. | TNK | NYSE:TNK |
| Sociedad Comercial del Plata S.A. | COME | BASE:COME |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TGNO4 | YPFD | LPG | MGY | TNK | COME | ||
| BASE:TGNO4 | BASE:YPFD | NYSE:LPG | NYSE:MGY | NYSE:TNK | BASE:COME | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 74.2% | 135.9% | -6.9% | 32.0% | 21.9% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 156.2% | 9.8% | -5.1% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3441.1% | 34.9% | -77.9% | -8.9% | -55.9% | -188.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.6% | 5.4% | 43.3% | 33.5% | 17.3% | 6.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -5.9% | 2.9% | 58.8% | 43.6% | 36.3% | 5.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 33.0% | 8.9% | 32.2% | 38.9% | 28.3% | -1.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 50.8% | 7.6% | 22.7% | 37.4% | 19.1% | -3.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.96x | 1.27x | 5.42x | 3.42x | 0.96x | 0.43x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.7x | 5.8x | 12.8x | 4.9x | 3.7x | 49.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 5.8x | 16.7x | 23.9x | 9.2x | 5.0x | -12.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 5.0x | 9.2x | 23.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 0.4x | 2.2x | 56.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -4.0x | -4.2x | -4.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (17,703) | (17,703) | (17,703) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 70,743 | 74,467 | 78,190 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 155,797 | 155,797 | 155,797 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 226,541 | 230,264 | 233,987 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7,000.0 | 7,000.0 | 7,000.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 32.36 | 32.89 | 33.43 | ||||
| FX Rate: ARS/ARS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 32.36 | 32.89 | 33.43 | 53.30 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -39.3% | -38.3% | -37.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TGNO4 | YPFD | LPG | MGY | TNK | COME | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,371,899 | 25,609,265 | 1,712 | 4,508 | 842 | 217,303 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 172,248 | 1,213,547 | 278 | 252 | 731 | 50,908 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,119 | 2,296,229 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 153,127 | |
| (-) Debt | (73,363) | (12,667,273) | (690) | (412) | (50) | (37,776) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (276,779) | 0 | (57) | 0 | (10,462) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,471,903 | 16,174,989 | 1,302 | 4,291 | 1,540 | 373,100 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 439.4 | 393.3 | 42.6 | 185.3 | 34.5 | 7,000.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3,350.00 | 41,125.00 | 30.52 | 23.16 | 44.60 | 53.30 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,350.00 | 41,125.00 | 30.52 | 23.16 | 44.60 | 53.30 | |
| Trading Currency | ARS | ARS | USD | USD | USD | ARS | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |