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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | -11.5x - -12.7x | -12.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | -8.7x - -9.6x | -9.2x |
| Fair Value | A$0.18 - A$0.20 | A$0.19 |
| Upside | 19.8% - 31.4% | 25.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Infinity Lithium Corporation Limited | INF | ASX:INF |
| Lepidico Limited | LPD | ASX:LPD |
| Pilbara Minerals Limited | PLS | ASX:PLS |
| Core Lithium Ltd | CXO | ASX:CXO |
| European Lithium Limited | EUR | ASX:EUR |
| Prospect Resources Limited | PSC | ASX:PSC |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| INF | LPD | PLS | CXO | EUR | PSC | ||
| ASX:INF | ASX:LPD | ASX:PLS | ASX:CXO | ASX:EUR | ASX:PSC | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 423.9% | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 41.3% | 30.6% | -96.8% | -1367.8% | -1134.0% | -19.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | NA | -25.8% | 29.3% | -19.7% | -2173.2% | -162.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | NA | NA | 80.5% | 19.8% | -591.0% | NA | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | NA | NA | 37.3% | -27.7% | -1439.9% | NA | |
| Latest Twelve Months | NA | NA | 6.4% | -101.2% | -3296.3% | NA | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | NA | NA | 4.62x | 1.97x | 91.42x | NA | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -0.2x | -4.4x | 71.7x | -1.9x | -2.8x | -9.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -0.2x | -4.1x | -1687.4x | -1.8x | -2.8x | -9.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -4.4x | -1.9x | 71.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -98.9x | -34.7x | -6.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | -11.5x | -12.1x | -12.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | (8) | (8) | (8) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 93 | 98 | 103 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 9 | 9 | 9 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 101 | 106 | 111 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 572.7 | 572.7 | 572.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.19 | ||||
| FX Rate: AUD/AUD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.15 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 18.0% | 23.7% | 29.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | INF | LPD | PLS | CXO | EUR | PSC | |
| Enterprise Value | 0 | 27 | 4,259 | 103 | (64) | 77 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 12 | 5 | 1,171 | 50 | 3 | 9 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 172 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (8) | (634) | (3) | (2) | (0) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1) | (6) | 0 | 0 | (31) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 12 | 17 | 4,844 | 150 | 78 | 86 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 472.6 | 8,589.2 | 3,218.5 | 2,143.0 | 1,445.2 | 572.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.03 | 0.00 | 1.51 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.15 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.03 | 0.00 | 1.51 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.15 | |
| Trading Currency | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |