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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -9.6x - -10.7x | -10.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -34.2x - -37.8x | -36.0x |
| Fair Value | A$0.87 - A$0.94 | A$0.91 |
| Upside | -27.8% - -21.9% | -24.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Airbus SE | AIR_KZ | KAS:AIR_KZ |
| Austal Limited | ASB | ASX:ASB |
| DroneShield Limited | DRO | ASX:DRO |
| General Dynamics Corporation | GD | NYSE:GD |
| RTX Corporation | RTX | NYSE:RTX |
| Electro Optic Systems Holdings Limited | EOS | ASX:EOS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| AIR_KZ | ASB | DRO | GD | RTX | EOS | ||
| KAS:AIR_KZ | ASX:ASB | ASX:DRO | NYSE:GD | NYSE:RTX | ASX:EOS | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 36.3% | NM- | NM- | 0.9% | 8.1% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | -0.2% | NM- | NM- | 2.9% | 8.5% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.6% | -946.2% | -579.9% | 28.6% | 54.2% | -253.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.5% | 3.4% | -59.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | -9.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.5% | -1.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | -3.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.9% | -1.6% | -22.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | -15.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.9% | -1.3% | -22.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | -15.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.25x | 1.24x | 13.69x | 1.74x | 2.63x | 1.43x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.6x | 52.0x | -74.2x | 14.9x | 16.5x | -15.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 18.0x | -97.5x | -61.0x | 17.4x | 25.0x | -9.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -97.5x | 17.4x | 25.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -64.6x | -19.2x | -9.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -9.6x | -10.1x | -10.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (27) | (27) | (27) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 261 | 274 | 288 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 75 | 75 | 75 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 336 | 350 | 363 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 193.0 | 193.0 | 193.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.74 | 1.81 | 1.88 | ||||
| FX Rate: AUD/AUD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.74 | 1.81 | 1.88 | 1.21 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 44.5% | 50.4% | 56.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AIR_KZ | ASB | DRO | GD | RTX | EOS | |
| Enterprise Value | 77,949 | 1,957 | 793 | 82,962 | 211,564 | 157 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 18,729 | 354 | 219 | 1,697 | 5,578 | 41 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 16,542 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 95 | |
| (-) Debt | (14,279) | (285) | (9) | (10,676) | (43,260) | (66) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (90) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (1,802) | 5 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 98,851 | 2,026 | 1,004 | 73,983 | 172,080 | 233 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 666.6 | 414.2 | 873.5 | 268.0 | 1,335.1 | 193.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 148.28 | 4.89 | 1.15 | 276.08 | 128.89 | 1.21 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 88,200.00 | 4.89 | 1.15 | 276.08 | 128.89 | 1.21 | |
| Trading Currency | KZT | AUD | AUD | USD | USD | AUD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |