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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -8.4x - -9.2x | -8.8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -46.3x - -51.2x | -48.8x |
| Fair Value | A$1.57 - A$1.69 | A$1.63 |
| Upside | 17.0% - 26.2% | 21.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Airbus SE | AIR_KZ | KAS:AIR_KZ |
| General Dynamics Corporation | GD | NYSE:GD |
| Austal Limited | ASB | ASX:ASB |
| RTX Corporation | RTX | NYSE:RTX |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA | KOG | OB:KOG |
| Electro Optic Systems Holdings Limited | EOS | ASX:EOS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| AIR_KZ | GD | ASB | RTX | KOG | EOS | ||
| KAS:AIR_KZ | NYSE:GD | ASX:ASB | NYSE:RTX | OB:KOG | ASX:EOS | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 36.3% | 0.9% | NM- | 8.1% | 44.2% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | -0.2% | 2.9% | NM- | 8.5% | 31.5% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.6% | 28.6% | -946.2% | 54.2% | 40.7% | -253.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.5% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | -9.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.5% | 8.8% | -1.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | -3.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.9% | 10.0% | -1.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | -15.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.9% | 10.0% | -1.3% | 10.5% | 13.4% | -15.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.59x | 1.68x | 0.93x | 2.68x | 5.38x | 1.58x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.1x | 14.3x | 39.1x | 16.9x | 34.9x | -17.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 23.0x | 16.8x | -73.4x | 25.5x | 40.3x | -10.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -73.4x | 23.0x | 40.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -64.6x | -19.7x | -9.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -8.4x | -8.8x | -9.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (27) | (27) | (27) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 226 | 238 | 250 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 75 | 75 | 75 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 301 | 313 | 325 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 193.0 | 193.0 | 193.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.56 | 1.62 | 1.68 | ||||
| FX Rate: AUD/AUD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.56 | 1.62 | 1.68 | 1.34 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 16.4% | 21.0% | 25.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AIR_KZ | GD | ASB | RTX | KOG | EOS | |
| Enterprise Value | 87,174 | 80,086 | 1,472 | 216,210 | 262,880 | 183 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 18,729 | 1,697 | 354 | 5,578 | 14,293 | 41 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 16,542 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4,634 | 95 | |
| (-) Debt | (14,279) | (10,676) | (285) | (43,260) | (4,689) | (66) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (90) | 0 | 0 | (1,802) | (593) | 5 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 108,076 | 71,107 | 1,540 | 176,726 | 276,525 | 259 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 666.6 | 269.9 | 361.6 | 1,335.1 | 175.9 | 193.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 162.12 | 263.41 | 4.26 | 132.37 | 1,572.00 | 1.34 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 88,200.00 | 263.41 | 4.26 | 132.37 | 1,572.00 | 1.34 | |
| Trading Currency | KZT | USD | AUD | USD | NOK | AUD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |