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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -6.8x - -7.5x | -7.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -14.5x - -16.1x | -15.3x |
| Fair Value | A$0.12 - A$0.13 | A$0.12 |
| Upside | 3.1% - 11.9% | 7.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Toro Energy Limited | TOE | ASX:TOE |
| Berkeley Energia Limited | BKY | ASX:BKY |
| Boss Energy Limited | BOE | ASX:BOE |
| Deep Yellow Limited | DYL | ASX:DYL |
| Peninsula Energy Limited | PEN | ASX:PEN |
| Aura Energy Limited | AEE | ASX:AEE |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TOE | BKY | BOE | DYL | PEN | AEE | ||
| ASX:TOE | ASX:BKY | ASX:BOE | ASX:DYL | ASX:PEN | ASX:AEE | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -15.0% | -13.3% | -115.9% | -29.2% | -68.5% | -71.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -6471.7% | NA | -58.9% | -107895.9% | -8.0% | -43795.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | NA | NA | NA | -30690.2% | -0.6% | NA | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -4827.3% | NA | NA | -90058.0% | -115.3% | NA | |
| Latest Twelve Months | NA | NA | -43.9% | -1614681.7% | NA | NA | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | NA | NA | 20.76x | 723509.39x | NA | NA | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -2.1x | NA | -49.3x | -51.3x | -1.4x | -7.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -1.5x | -29.4x | -47.3x | -44.8x | -1.4x | -6.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -47.3x | -29.4x | -1.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -32.2x | -14.7x | -3.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -6.8x | -7.2x | -7.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (12) | (12) | (12) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 83 | 88 | 92 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 21 | 21 | 21 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 104 | 108 | 112 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 912.7 | 912.7 | 912.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.12 | ||||
| FX Rate: AUD/AUD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -1.2% | 2.9% | 7.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TOE | BKY | BOE | DYL | PEN | AEE | |
| Enterprise Value | 11 | 184 | 992 | 730 | 22 | 84 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 9 | 79 | 65 | 158 | 45 | 21 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | 0 | (1) | (3) | (0) | (0) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 20 | 263 | 1,091 | 885 | 67 | 105 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 120.3 | 445.8 | 414.9 | 972.6 | 159.6 | 912.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.17 | 0.59 | 2.63 | 0.91 | 0.42 | 0.12 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.63 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.17 | 0.59 | 2.63 | 0.91 | 0.67 | 0.12 | |
| Trading Currency | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.63 | 1.00 | |