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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.3x - 1.5x | 1.4x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.2x - 1.3x | 1.2x |
| Fair Value | د.أ 2.52 - د.أ 2.84 | د.أ 2.68 |
| Upside | -8.4% - 3.3% | -2.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Phosphate Mines Co. Plc | JOPH | ASE:JOPH |
| Arab Potash Company | APOT | ASE:APOT |
| Arab Company for Paints Products | APC | PLSE:APC |
| Jordan Industrial Resources Company | JOIR | ASE:JOIR |
| Vittia S.A. | VITT3 | BOVESPA:VITT3 |
| The Arab Pesticides & Veterinary Drugs Mfg. Co. | MBED | ASE:MBED |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| JOPH | APOT | APC | JOIR | VITT3 | MBED | |||
| ASE:JOPH | ASE:APOT | PLSE:APC | ASE:JOIR | BOVESPA:VITT3 | ASE:MBED | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 13.6% | 5.2% | 1.0% | -18.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 4.0% | 0.2% | -0.3% | -24.5% | 40.5% | 16.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.0% | -7.0% | 34.2% | -73.1% | 6.1% | 21.0% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 37.0% | 38.1% | 13.6% | -53.3% | 16.4% | 21.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 44.5% | 38.9% | 5.1% | -56.7% | 13.1% | 20.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 41.3% | 30.6% | 13.1% | -76.2% | 11.2% | 21.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 44.0% | 31.4% | 12.0% | -117.4% | 10.4% | 21.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.83x | 2.97x | 1.56x | 18.53x | 1.11x | 1.44x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.7x | 9.5x | 13.1x | -15.8x | 10.6x | 6.7x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 4.87x | 4.05x | 1.78x | 8.78x | 0.92x | 1.20x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.11x | 2.97x | 18.53x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.39x | 1.50x | 1.80x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.35x | 1.42x | 1.49x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 38 | 38 | 38 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 51 | 53 | 56 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (9) | (9) | (9) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 42 | 45 | 47 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 16.5 | 16.5 | 16.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 2.54 | 2.70 | 2.86 | |||||
| FX Rate: JOD/JOD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.54 | 2.70 | 2.86 | 2.75 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -7.6% | -1.7% | 4.2% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | JOPH | APOT | APC | JOIR | VITT3 | MBED | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,846 | 1,949 | 9 | 2 | 887 | 54 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 945 | 419 | 1 | 0 | 64 | 7 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 370 | 291 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| (-) Debt | (1) | (2) | 0 | (1) | (211) | (7) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (11) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | (9) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,150 | 2,658 | 11 | 1 | 740 | 45 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 300.0 | 83.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 147.9 | 16.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 20.50 | 31.90 | 7.00 | 0.54 | 5.00 | 2.75 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 20.50 | 31.90 | 7.00 | 0.54 | 5.00 | 2.75 | |
| Trading Currency | JOD | JOD | JOD | JOD | BRL | JOD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |