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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 6.8x - 7.5x | 7.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5.2x - 5.8x | 5.5x |
| Fair Value | د.أ 2.82 - د.أ 3.17 | د.أ 2.99 |
| Upside | 2.9% - 15.7% | 9.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Jordan Phosphate Mines Co. Plc | JOPH | ASE:JOPH |
| Arab Potash Company | APOT | ASE:APOT |
| Arab Company for Paints Products | APC | PLSE:APC |
| Jordan Industrial Resources Company | JOIR | ASE:JOIR |
| Palram Industries (1990) Ltd | PLRM | TASE:PLRM |
| The Arab Pesticides & Veterinary Drugs Mfg. Co. | MBED | ASE:MBED |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| JOPH | APOT | APC | JOIR | PLRM | MBED | ||
| ASE:JOPH | ASE:APOT | PLSE:APC | ASE:JOIR | TASE:PLRM | ASE:MBED | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 62.0% | 5.6% | -4.8% | NM- | 29.3% | 19.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 7.9% | -5.9% | -14.4% | NM- | -0.1% | 16.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.1% | -10.8% | 254.4% | 53.9% | 20.2% | 22.3% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 37.0% | 38.1% | 13.6% | -53.2% | 14.4% | 21.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 44.5% | 38.9% | 5.1% | -56.7% | 11.8% | 20.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 41.3% | 30.6% | 13.1% | -76.2% | 16.3% | 21.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 44.0% | 31.4% | 12.0% | -114.9% | 15.9% | 21.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.76x | 2.98x | 1.56x | 19.01x | 1.01x | 1.43x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.3x | 6.9x | 11.2x | -20.7x | 5.7x | 6.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.5x | 9.5x | 13.1x | -16.5x | 6.4x | 6.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -16.5x | 8.5x | 13.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 6.5x | 7.1x | 8.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 6.8x | 7.1x | 7.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 8 | 8 | 8 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 55 | 58 | 61 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (9) | (9) | (9) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 46 | 49 | 52 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 16.5 | 16.5 | 16.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 2.80 | 2.98 | 3.15 | ||||
| FX Rate: JOD/JOD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.80 | 2.98 | 3.15 | 2.74 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 2.2% | 8.6% | 15.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | JOPH | APOT | APC | JOIR | PLRM | MBED | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,756 | 1,957 | 9 | 2 | 1,900 | 54 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 945 | 419 | 1 | 0 | 381 | 7 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 370 | 291 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| (-) Debt | (1) | (2) | 0 | (1) | (251) | (7) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (11) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (135) | (9) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,060 | 2,666 | 11 | 1 | 1,895 | 45 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 300.0 | 83.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 25.7 | 16.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 20.20 | 32.00 | 7.00 | 0.57 | 73.66 | 2.74 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 20.20 | 32.00 | 7.00 | 0.57 | 73.66 | 2.74 | |
| Trading Currency | JOD | JOD | JOD | JOD | ILS | JOD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |