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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 21.0x - 23.2x | 22.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 14.5x - 16.1x | 15.3x |
| Fair Value | £4.43 - £4.88 | £4.65 |
| Upside | 16.5% - 28.4% | 22.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| NIOX Group Plc | NIOX | AIM:NIOX |
| Advanced Medical Solutions Group plc | AMS | AIM:AMS |
| Surgical Innovations Group plc | SUN | AIM:SUN |
| MyHealthChecked PLC | MHC | AIM:MHC |
| ConvaTec Group PLC | CTEC | LSE:CTEC |
| Tristel plc | TSTL | AIM:TSTL |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| NIOX | AMS | SUN | MHC | CTEC | TSTL | ||
| AIM:NIOX | AIM:AMS | AIM:SUN | AIM:MHC | LSE:CTEC | AIM:TSTL | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | -4.8% | NM- | NM- | 6.2% | 6.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | -7.5% | NM- | NM- | 9.2% | 9.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 37.5% | -14.6% | -8.7% | -968.1% | 16.4% | 28.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.9% | 21.9% | -8.7% | -1443.3% | 21.2% | 18.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 21.7% | 21.1% | -2.9% | -1.9% | 21.9% | 18.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 26.3% | 12.8% | -3.1% | -60.4% | 23.1% | 19.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 26.3% | 12.8% | -3.1% | -60.4% | 23.7% | 21.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 6.67x | 2.87x | 0.63x | 0.00x | 3.13x | 4.03x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 25.4x | 22.4x | -20.3x | 0.0x | 13.2x | 18.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 36.2x | 45.4x | -11.9x | 0.0x | 19.4x | 21.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -20.3x | 13.2x | 25.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 25.3x | 31.0x | 43.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.0x | 22.1x | 23.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 9 | 9 | 9 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 198 | 208 | 219 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 6 | 6 | 6 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 204 | 214 | 224 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 47.7 | 47.7 | 47.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 4.27 | 4.49 | 4.70 | ||||
| FX Rate: GBP/GBP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.27 | 4.49 | 4.70 | 3.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 12.3% | 18.0% | 23.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NIOX | AMS | SUN | MHC | CTEC | TSTL | |
| Enterprise Value | 279 | 509 | 8 | (0) | 7,394 | 176 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 11 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 96 | 12 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2) | (87) | (1) | 0 | (1,340) | (6) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 288 | 439 | 7 | 5 | 6,166 | 181 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 417.8 | 215.5 | 932.8 | 52.0 | 2,044.3 | 47.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.69 | 2.04 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 3.02 | 3.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.34 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.69 | 2.04 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 2.26 | 3.80 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.34 | 1.00 | |