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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 6.1x - 6.8x | 6.5x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 7.9x - 8.7x | 8.3x |
Fair Value | £1.04 - £1.16 | £1.10 |
Upside | 9.2% - 21.9% | 15.6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Hays plc | HAS | LSE:HAS |
PageGroup plc | PAGE | LSE:PAGE |
Robert Walters plc | RWA | LSE:RWA |
Fintel Plc | FNTL | AIM:FNTL |
SThree plc | STEM | LSE:STEM |
RTC Group plc | RTC | AIM:RTC |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
HAS | PAGE | RWA | FNTL | STEM | RTC | ||
LSE:HAS | LSE:PAGE | LSE:RWA | AIM:FNTL | LSE:STEM | AIM:RTC | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -23.1% | -18.6% | -36.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 6.0% | |
3Y CAGR | -10.7% | -32.2% | -54.2% | 6.6% | 2.7% | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | -79.8% | -55.9% | -80.2% | 5.4% | -14.7% | -3.3% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 20.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 2.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 22.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 1.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 19.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 0.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 19.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.18x | 0.49x | 0.19x | 3.29x | 0.18x | 0.15x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 22.8x | 7.4x | 12.4x | 13.5x | 3.8x | 4.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 36.7x | 16.3x | 32.8x | 16.6x | 4.0x | 5.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 4.0x | 16.6x | 36.7x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -19.5x | -4.0x | 6.3x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 6.1x | 6.5x | 6.8x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 3 | 3 | 3 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 16 | 17 | 18 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1) | (1) | (1) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 15 | 16 | 16 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 13.6 | 13.6 | 13.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 1.08 | 1.14 | 1.20 | ||||
FX Rate: GBP/GBP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.08 | 1.14 | 1.20 | 0.95 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 13.6% | 20.1% | 26.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | HAS | PAGE | RWA | FNTL | STEM | RTC | |
Enterprise Value | 1,172 | 825 | 171 | 248 | 266 | 14 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 154 | 95 | 68 | 6 | 70 | 1 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (291) | (137) | (88) | (32) | (40) | (2) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,035 | 784 | 151 | 225 | 296 | 13 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,591.8 | 313.8 | 65.8 | 104.2 | 128.5 | 13.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.65 | 2.50 | 2.30 | 2.16 | 2.31 | 0.95 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.65 | 2.50 | 2.30 | 2.16 | 2.31 | 0.95 | |
Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |