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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 11.5x - 12.7x | 12.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 13.9x - 15.4x | 14.7x |
| Fair Value | £0.039 - £0.046 | £0.042 |
| Upside | 14.2% - 35.7% | 24.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| boohoo group plc | DEBS | AIM:DEBS |
| Frasers Group Plc | FRAS | LSE:FRAS |
| JD Sports Fashion Plc | JD. | LSE:JD. |
| Angling Direct PLC | ANG | AIM:ANG |
| ASOS Plc | ASC | LSE:ASC |
| Mothercare plc | MTC | AIM:MTC |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| DEBS | FRAS | JD. | ANG | ASC | MTC | ||
| AIM:DEBS | LSE:FRAS | LSE:JD. | AIM:ANG | LSE:ASC | AIM:MTC | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 19.8% | 15.1% | NM- | NM- | -12.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | -0.6% | 1.3% | -17.1% | NM- | 184.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -6.5% | 2.6% | 12.6% | 51.5% | -32.5% | -47.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 2.0% | -2.2% | 6.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -2.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 1.6% | -7.0% | 8.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -3.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 2.2% | -11.4% | 12.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -3.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 2.2% | -10.9% | 7.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.32x | 0.72x | 0.68x | 0.37x | 0.31x | 0.75x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -34.4x | 4.9x | 5.7x | 9.6x | -3.3x | 8.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -8.4x | 6.7x | 7.4x | 17.0x | -2.8x | 9.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -8.4x | 6.7x | 17.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -32.0x | 7.9x | 11.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 11.5x | 12.1x | 12.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 4 | 4 | 4 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 43 | 45 | 47 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (17) | (17) | (17) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 26 | 28 | 30 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 563.7 | 563.7 | 563.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | ||||
| FX Rate: GBP/GBP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.03 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 33.2% | 44.9% | 56.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | DEBS | FRAS | JD. | ANG | ASC | MTC | |
| Enterprise Value | 444 | 3,540 | 7,762 | 34 | 840 | 36 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 132 | 252 | 731 | 12 | 221 | 3 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 30 | 996 | 39 | 0 | 46 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (389) | (1,861) | (3,738) | (13) | (732) | (20) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (28) | (450) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 216 | 2,898 | 4,344 | 33 | 375 | 19 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,387.8 | 432.9 | 5,061.4 | 73.1 | 119.3 | 563.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.16 | 6.70 | 0.86 | 0.46 | 3.15 | 0.03 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.16 | 6.70 | 0.86 | 0.46 | 3.15 | 0.03 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |