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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.1x - 1.2x | 1.1x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.0x - 1.1x | 1.1x |
| Fair Value | £8.44 - £9.24 | £8.84 |
| Upside | 54.2% - 68.8% | 61.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Portmeirion Group PLC | PMP | AIM:PMP |
| Henry Boot PLC | BOOT | LSE:BOOT |
| Colefax Group PLC | CFX | AIM:CFX |
| Sanderson Design Group plc | SDG | AIM:SDG |
| Stelrad Group PLC | SRAD | LSE:SRAD |
| Churchill China plc | CHH | AIM:CHH |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| PMP | BOOT | CFX | SDG | SRAD | CHH | |||
| AIM:PMP | LSE:BOOT | AIM:CFX | AIM:SDG | LSE:SRAD | AIM:CHH | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -0.3% | -2.9% | 4.4% | -0.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -4.9% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 8.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -11.2% | -8.6% | 3.0% | -7.5% | -5.7% | -4.9% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.43x | 0.99x | 0.56x | 0.32x | 0.83x | 0.70x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 13.0x | 11.9x | 7.3x | 6.8x | 8.1x | 6.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.22x | 0.83x | 0.47x | 0.30x | 0.60x | 0.82x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.32x | 0.56x | 0.99x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.70x | 1.79x | 3.54x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.07x | 1.13x | 1.19x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 78 | 78 | 78 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 84 | 89 | 93 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 10 | 10 | 10 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 94 | 98 | 103 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 8.52 | 8.92 | 9.32 | |||||
| FX Rate: GBP/GBP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 8.52 | 8.92 | 9.32 | 5.48 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 55.6% | 63.0% | 70.3% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | PMP | BOOT | CFX | SDG | SRAD | CHH | |
| Enterprise Value | 40 | 327 | 61 | 32 | 241 | 51 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 11 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 19 | 10 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (30) | (79) | (28) | (12) | (86) | (1) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (3) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 21 | 274 | 51 | 30 | 174 | 60 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 13.8 | 133.6 | 6.2 | 72.0 | 127.4 | 11.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.56 | 2.05 | 8.30 | 0.42 | 1.37 | 5.48 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.56 | 2.05 | 8.30 | 0.42 | 1.37 | 5.48 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |