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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | -3.2x - -3.5x | -3.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | -3.2x - -3.6x | -3.4x |
| Fair Value | £0.080 - £0.086 | £0.083 |
| Upside | 18.9% - 28.6% | 23.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| SIMEC Atlantis Energy Limited | SAE | AIM:SAE |
| Invinity Energy Systems plc | IES | AIM:IES |
| Gelion plc | GELN | AIM:GELN |
| Ilika plc | IKA | AIM:IKA |
| LPA Group Plc | LPA | AIM:LPA |
| AFC Energy plc | AFC | AIM:AFC |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SAE | IES | GELN | IKA | LPA | AFC | ||
| AIM:SAE | AIM:IES | AIM:GELN | AIM:IKA | AIM:LPA | AIM:AFC | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | -4.6% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.3% | -10.0% | 3.5% | 11.2% | 63.4% | 7.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -60.9% | -1769.1% | -384.5% | -540.0% | 3.3% | -3478.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -70.0% | -621.0% | -334.8% | -1097.6% | 2.0% | -8286.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 52.1% | -100.1% | -294.3% | -235.1% | 3.0% | -435.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 50.2% | -235.4% | -233.4% | -286.8% | 3.0% | -435.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.78x | 0.73x | 5.07x | 24.95x | 0.38x | 10.47x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.5x | -0.3x | -2.2x | -8.7x | 12.9x | -2.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 14.9x | -0.3x | -1.9x | -6.9x | -362.2x | -2.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -8.7x | -0.3x | 12.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -49.0x | -6.6x | -2.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | -3.2x | -3.4x | -3.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | (17) | (17) | (17) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 56 | 58 | 61 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 15 | 15 | 15 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 71 | 74 | 77 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 854.4 | 854.4 | 854.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.09 | ||||
| FX Rate: GBP/GBP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.07 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 23.8% | 28.9% | 34.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SAE | IES | GELN | IKA | LPA | AFC | |
| Enterprise Value | 69 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 9 | 42 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 8 | 49 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 15 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| (-) Debt | (58) | (2) | (0) | (1) | (3) | (1) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (2) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 17 | 54 | 15 | 53 | 7 | 57 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 722.8 | 440.6 | 148.4 | 168.1 | 13.2 | 854.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.02 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.32 | 0.53 | 0.07 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.02 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.32 | 0.53 | 0.07 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |