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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12.2x - 13.5x | 12.8x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 14.2x - 15.7x | 14.9x |
| Fair Value | د.إ 4.88 - د.إ 5.15 | د.إ 5.01 |
| Upside | 40.1% - 47.9% | 44.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Abu Dhabi Ship Building PJSC | ADSB | ADX:ADSB |
| Modon Holding PSC | MODON | ADX:MODON |
| TAT Technologies Ltd. | TATT | TASE:TATT |
| Astronics Corporation | ATRO | NasdaqGS:ATRO |
| Mercury Systems, Inc. | MRCY | NasdaqGS:MRCY |
| Al Seer Marine Supplies and Equipment Company PJSC | ASM | ADX:ASM |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ADSB | MODON | TATT | ATRO | MRCY | ASM | ||
| ADX:ADSB | ADX:MODON | TASE:TATT | NasdaqGS:ATRO | NasdaqGS:MRCY | ADX:ASM | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 40.1% | 89.8% | 20.4% | -4.5% | -13.1% | 24.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 81.7% | 73.7% | NM- | -24.1% | 40.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 36.4% | 9063.5% | 53.5% | 128.4% | 324.9% | 38.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.4% | 24.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.6% | 23.9% | 9.0% | 2.4% | -3.8% | 14.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.3% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 14.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.1% | 32.0% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 15.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.14x | 4.90x | 3.06x | 2.02x | 5.46x | 0.92x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.7x | 15.3x | 24.4x | 27.8x | 69.5x | 6.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 26.0x | 16.9x | 32.5x | 45.1x | -478.2x | 9.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.3x | 24.4x | 69.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.1x | 76.2x | 165.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.2x | 12.8x | 13.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 214 | 214 | 214 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,613 | 2,751 | 2,888 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 2,282 | 2,282 | 2,282 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,896 | 5,033 | 5,171 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,000.0 | 1,000.0 | 1,000.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 4.90 | 5.03 | 5.17 | ||||
| FX Rate: AED/AED | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.90 | 5.03 | 5.17 | 3.48 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 40.7% | 44.6% | 48.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ADSB | MODON | TATT | ATRO | MRCY | ASM | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,491 | 53,236 | 469 | 1,667 | 4,980 | 1,198 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 286 | 10,476 | 43 | 13 | 309 | 5,321 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 3,864 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 248 | |
| (-) Debt | (130) | (7,521) | (16) | (196) | (661) | (3,286) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1,205) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,647 | 58,849 | 501 | 1,484 | 4,627 | 3,480 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 212.0 | 16,347.1 | 12.9 | 35.4 | 60.0 | 1,000.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 7.77 | 3.60 | 38.83 | 41.92 | 77.10 | 3.48 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.77 | 3.60 | 129.70 | 41.92 | 77.10 | 3.48 | |
| Trading Currency | AED | AED | ILS | USD | USD | AED | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |